Thanks, RR191, that was very well said.
And, to add, nothing gets more tiresome than some guy who quotes density statistics willy nilly. Density alone tells you nothing about transit ridership.
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Willy nilly." Haha.
Sorry you feel that way. I'm at least trying to bring factual, unbiased points into the discussion. Density tells you a lot of transit ridership actually, because the passenger loads of feeder buses mean little when they can be rerouted to any given point the transit operator sees fit.
It is the walk-in yield of the RHC extension that truly determines whether it's a worthwhile investment. So unless 80% or greater of those 35,000 new 407 Lands residents will wind up utilizing the subway; it is grossly unnecessary to expand the network
that far north, especially when there's a parallel commuter-rail/S-Bahn service capable of carrying passengers to the exact same southern terminus as the YUS line can.
Today's conditions are all fine and good, but they do not reflect what is planned to occur in the 5, 10 or 25 year range. You can quote Stats Canada until the cows come home but unless you have a time machine to the 2031 census then it means nothing.
Are there better uses of money? Yes. There will ALWAYS be better uses of money in the eyes of someone who wants to look elsewhere. Doesoes that mean it's not a worthwhile project? No.
You said it yourself - areas can urbanize and grow. Why is Richmond Hill Centre and the Yonge Street corridor so different?
Okay. Has it occured to you that if RHC has an increased poplation by 2031 so too will all the aforementioned UBCs I brought up? Only diff they'll have
3x to 6x as many residents by then; making extensions/expansions to Downtown, Eglinton-Crosstown, Mississauga and Scarborough all the more critical. No one is saying that RHC shouldn't get a subway extension some day, and in the meantime extending the line to Steeles Stn would at least alleviate the most congested section of the corridor from excess bus traffic.
Finch to Richmond Hill Centre via subway= 12 minutes
Steeles-Centrepoint to Richmond Hill Centre via VIVA Blue= <10 minutes
See? There's no real time advantage, only relocating the transfer point further up the road.
The Highway 7 corridor has density clusters, agreed, but these aren't directly off Yonge Street (Beaver Creek, Markham Centre, Unionville, Markville, Cornell). These easily could feed into the Sheppard, Scarborough and DRL lines via express bus and LRT routes. So apart from the Promenade (23 Thornhill Woods, 88 Bathurst would feed directly into Steeles Stn regardless), Hillcrest Mall area and the planned community around the 407; there's not much intensification around the Yonge Street corridor north of Steeles as rationale. So unless the 407 Lands suddenly transform into the next
Mississauga City Centre-type condo/office/civic/retail/recreational tower clusterfuck, I do not see the point, not for another couple of decades anyway; when MCC and SCC with higher populations TODAY are still so cut off from the subway network and extensions to Steeles Avenue would at least bring the subway within 10 minutes of VCC/RHC.
I won't debate this with y'all any further since I detect some unilateral opposition to my viewpoints, but I just wanted to hash out my complete thought process on this matter.