Midtown Urbanist
Superstar
Yes, during the morning rush, 100 Flemingdon Park buses bound for Broadview Station are almost always standing room only by the time the first westbound stop in Thorncliffe Park is reached. 25 Don Mills buses are slightly better; 81 Thorncliffe Park buses are full upon leaving Thorncliffe as are 88B South Leaside buses; 88A South Leaside buses generally have space because that branch takes the long way back to St. Clair Station (through the Leaside Business Park).
Yes, the Flemingdon and Thorncliffe Stations were forecast as the lowest ridership stations. My guess, because I am not privy to their modeling assumptions, is that the results were partly to justify the mega terminal that will be built at Don Mills and Eglinton for the Crosstown LRT. That only addresses the routing of the 25 and the 100 though. That doesn't explain Thorncliffe. Maybe their notion was to "cheap out" and not build any sort of terminal facility to bring 81 and 88 riders into the station directly.
I wonder what ramifications this has once the Crosstown is complete regarding ridership pattern changes. If all those people commuting south by bus to the B-D line instead decide it is better to commute north to Laird or Don Mills station on the Crosstown, we could potentially be adding many more morning rush hour commuters to Yonge-Eglinton station and the Yonge line.