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Roads: Gardiner Expressway

I also have an issue with the incredible 99 year time horizon. Imagine if you had to justify LRT projects based on the same costing. Eglington LRT will cost $20 billion (over 99 years). Who would say yes to that? (I'm just pulling a number out of the hat)

But that's a big part of the reason why LRTs on Finch, Sheppard and Eglinton were recommended. Their operational costs over the lifecycle to the City were less than the operational costs of our current bus operations. The TTC will be able to drastically cut our costly bus fleet because of those three lines, and the money saved can be used to improve service elsewhere.
 
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The 99-year lifecycle cost is necessary because of the history of the Gardiner itself. People are well aware of how much we've been spending over the years to maintain it, and it seems like this wasn't well thought out in the past (when it was constructed). The city spent millions last decade (approx $75m) in minor maintenance. If you look here, the maintenance program for the Gardiner that city council approved in January 2013 estimated that they would spend $662m to rehabilitate the section of the Gardiner from Strachan to the DVP. That's only over a 13 year period.

So yeah, the 99-year cost estimate is important. People need to realize how expensive it is to maintain an elevated expressway.
 
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The 99-year lifecycle cost is necessary because of the history of the Gardiner itself. People are well aware of how much we've been spending over the years to maintain it, and it seems like this wasn't well thought out in the past (when it was constructed). The city spent millions last decade (approx $75m) in minor maintenance. If you look here, the maintenance program for the Gardiner that city council approved in January 2013 estimated that they would spend $662m to rehabilitate the section of the Gardiner from Strachan to the DVP. That's only over a 13 year period.

So yeah, the 99-year cost estimate is important. People need to realize how expensive it is to maintain an elevated expressway.

Maybe I am not understanding your post but it seems you are picking and choosing when to apply the 99 year calc......perhaps they have spent $662 million over 13 years....but surely they will not spend that every 13 years?
 
Maybe I am not understanding your post but it seems you are picking and choosing when to apply the 99 year calc......perhaps they have spent $662 million over 13 years....but surely they will not spend that every 13 years?
Obviously not every thirteen years. But certainly more often than once every 99 years.

They also spent millions on extensive repairs in the 90s, but I'm having trouble finding documentation for that.

From this link; the city spends $12m a year on regular maintenance alone, and still has had to do extensive repairs (see the $662m rehabilitation plan that I linked above). Hell, my dad, who works for the City public works, has been doing repairs on the Gardiner for three decades. So no, I don't think that I'm picking and choosing anything, as we've been paying extensive bills related to the expressway (the whole expressway, I'll admit) for decades.
 
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Obviously not every thirteen years. But certainly more often than once every 99 years.

sure...and there will be years that they spend very little....likely why one of the reports looked at the various options on a NPV basis...bringing/discounting all of the options down to a total cost in today's dollars.
 
sure...and there will be years that they spend very little....likely why one of the reports looked at the various options on a NPV basis...bringing/discounting all of the options down to a total cost in today's dollars.
Got a link? I'd be interested in reading that.
 
Here's the project website - http://gardinereast.ca/ As you can see, there have been *four* rounds of public consultations already.

How much additional info do you think people need on this and how would you suggest it be delivered/pressed on them?

I do not know exactly how these consultations work. I sent a question to them 4 weeks ago and aside from an auto-generated reply, I have heard nothing. So I imagine I will have to wait a bit longer. Maybe Councillors have the same problem that their questions are just not being answered.

The last time I asked a question at an EA was in December 2012 about the Eglinton Crosstown at Leslie. I still have not heard back on that one either.
 
Ok, I found the staff action report (see link)

If you go to Page 5, it has the $NPV figures.
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From Page 6-7;

The recommended Remove preferred alternative solution in the Gardiner Expressway East EA, which is based on preliminary estimates, requires capital funding of $417 million from 2020 to 2026. This will result in an increase in required funding of $23 million as compared to the Maintain option. However, it does represent the lowest cost alternative by an estimated $51 million on an NPV basis over a 100-year timeframe.

While the recommended Remove option will require an additional upfront capital investment beyond the Maintain option, the net impact on the City will be substantially less than $23 million, as this initial investment will yield a combination of long term savings from the avoidance of future life-cycle capital replacement costs as well as generate additional revenue from the sale of excess public land made available from freed up area along the current East Deck of the Gardiner Expressway.

However, I haven't been able to find a report that references $NPV for the Hybrid option.
 

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Picture I just posted on Twitter showing where Google thinks traffic issues are right now:
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Note the green at Gardiner East, the red northbound from Gerrard. But midtowners like Carmichael Greb and Burnside (both new councillors who received Tory endorsements) are making statements favouring maintain-tweak rather than worrying about how the hell the DVP from the ramps their constituents use is gonna get moving.

That's another great argument for tearing down the Gardiner. Making it harder to drive means more people will use transit, so the DVP will become less congested. The problem is the DVP is too narrow and there are too many cars feeding into it.
 
I wonder if today won't be a bit of a tipping point. Earlier in the day a poll says tear it down, and then His Tiny Perfectness politely trashes Tory's stance. Who's left on the retain side? Rob Ford? Is this really the hill he wants to dig in on?
 
Lie-brid.

It did start as a hybrid, so the name was apt, but then they pulled a bait and switch, accidentally on purpose.
 

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