It is going to be interesting to see how this plays out. In the context of the recovery, it may make more sense to turn it into a trail if the industries that use it are dying. Perhaps it makes more sense for Orangeville to deindustrialize and focus on tourism. I'm interested to hear what others have to say about this.
I’m not sure if giving up on industry and replacing it with tourism would be a net benifit to the town. Yes, certain plastics are being banned, but the bans are typically focused on single use plastics, not plastics in general. So overall, I’m not sure if the plastics industry is dying.
We also have to remember that Orangeville is a long way from Brampton and Streetsville. You aren’t going to get large numbers of people travelling all the way from the GTA to Orangeville on the trail. Also there is a question of ownership if the rail line is torn up. There is no way that Orangeville would keep ownership of the entire line, as they wouldn’t want to pay taxes on the Caledon, Brampton, and Mississauga portions (an issue right now).
If the goal is to use this corridor for tourism, rail is the best bang for your buck.
The Credit Valley Explorer was very successful. It operated at 96% of its seats sold out in its final years. What would have been excellent is if you boarded the train in Brampton or Mississauga, rode the train to Orangeville, then disembarked and explored the town for a few hours, and returned. Rail would physically get people from the GTA to Orangeville, whereas a trail would only do this for a small number of people.
If Orangeville was smart, they’d convince Metrolinx to buy the corridor as a rail bank for future service. That would solve their taxation issue, a large portion of the cost of the OBRY. Would Metrolinx want to do this? Probably not. But with some political pressure it could happen.
I’ll also add that Trillium is doing a lot of work on this rail line. If it was certainly doomed, I don’t think that they’d be doing it.