Once it becomes clear that LPC is in striking distance of forming government, I expect NDP vote to waver and come over to get Ford out of office.
Well, again, which is like 2015 federally all over again. Except that the federal Libs didn't go into 2015 absent official party status, and Justin was far more of a "charismatic" known quantity than Del Duca presently is. (OTOH Del Duca has cabinet/governing experience which Justin lacked going into 2015, and the OLP is only one term out of power as opposed to the fed Libs' 3 terms in '15. So *they* have plusses.)
So re "once it becomes clear"--my point is, what if, despite present polling, it *doesn't* become so clear?
And I think you all are going to have to accept that even if the PCs are defeated in the end, there'll be seats they'll salvage through split opposition. Which they did even when at the losing end in '03, '07, '11 and '14. That's FPTP for you; and neutrally speaking, they're no different from the Libs or the NDP in that regard.
And finally, while I'm not claiming government-in-waiting status for her largely because, despite '18, the natural-third-party NDP pigeonhole's been hard to crack, I do find this tendency on this forum and elsewhere to overstate Horwath's negatives: the notion of her being a dreary and blah leader (a notion sometimes with an undercurrent of DoFo-nails-on-chalkboard-esque sexism), or that she's supposedly consistently underperformed expectations (when in fact, it's more the third-party pigeonhole, limited resources and lingering Rae memories that have weighed her party down relative to "expectations"--indeed, she *outperformed* initial expectations in 2018, even if she couldn't cross that final threshold to governance). That is, whether one likes it or not, she's still in *some* kind of allowance-grantable picture, perhaps as a kingmaker if not precisely as a premier-in-waiting. And unless Del Duca mania *really* goes like wildfire, she'll *probably* still retain a healthy-enough caucus in the event the Libs return to pole position or anywhere close, even if it's more of a '11 or '14-style "healthy enough"...