Whereas I do concede that the Empire Builder model might be relevant for the Ocean, which has population centers (although mostly small ones) spread along its route, I simply don’t see these population centers along the Canadian, at least not East of Winnipeg…
The Builder has its share of through travellers, and the on/off loads in any one smaller station are not that enormous, although a fair number of seats and berths do turn over along the route. I don’t see the segment east of Winnipeg as inconsistent with this format, especially on the CP route through Thunder Bay and Winnipeg. What I find harder to imagine is drawing many people from planes in Calgary, Edmonton, Regina, Saskatoon, or Winnipeg - the number of flights and fare options are just too convenient.
On this run the demographics run to many elderly people, and a disproportionate number of retirees who have the time to enjoy themselves. Most are going someplace (family visits especially) as opposed to “taking a cruise”. No “foreign” tourists in evidence.
What impresses me is the investment in working stations with newish platforms, lighting, etc. And the retention of working rail plant to speed operations (no backing into station platforms !) East of Marias, the track speed has consistently been 79 mph and only once did we hold for 10 mins for a hotshot freight (the crew called it “The Megatrain”.) This route is heavily congested, mostly with grain trains and plenty of intermodals, but all are consistently around 130 cars and never the longer land barges that one sees in Canada. Amtrak consistently takes priority. The trackbed is far more well built than either Canadian main line, with more graded and level spots for track equipment. I wonder if their MOW productivity is higher, as there seems to be more thought about how to get crews close to the track. It’s a very differently invested railway - not wasteful, but the assets haven’t been picked over the way EHH run railways have been stripped.
My conclusion is that the off-train investment and the railway operating philosophy are key elements and just replacing the rolling stock isn’t going to change anything (although riding Superliners drives home just how obsolete and worn out VIA’s Budd fleet has become… both in design and worn out bolsters, draft gear, and trucks). So even for the Ocean route, an envelope for track upgrades and station amenities is critical.
It’s a bit of a tortoise and hare story - VIA took a fork in the road thirty years ago that looked profitable, where Amtrak has struggled through different regimes and budgets but has gradually attained a sustainable long distance network. I’m just less convinced that Canada made the right choice.
Having said that, I see no likelihood that we will ever undo our choice…. But I will be more vocal that the fleet investment alone is not sufficient to lead to success. And I’m absolutely convinced that we ought to insist on proper track speed and better dispatching than VIA is provided.
- Paul