as you perhaps know, is designed for a future upgrade to LRT. So, in this sense they very much planned with the money they had (through the province), an upgradable, future-LRT system
A BRT->LRT non-rapid transit conversion would still be a mistake IMO. What I’m referring to is an idea which was never studied (by YR or by Metrolinx): A grade-separate Light Metro-type system capable of being interlined with any future LRT project. I’ve seen the reports, it was never looked at. We went from local plans for BRT->(
potential in-median type conversion) LRT, to a 2007 Prov subway promise, to a subway priority.
Now that EA is done and, obviously, the money has yet to materialize and so they are, very unfortunately, left in limbo by the vagaries of politics and the lack of appetite for revenue tools.
$4bn is a shit ton and doesn’t really exist atm. And $500M/km is an obscene amount that is not sustainable for continued subway expansion. But the real clincher is Yonge’s capacity issues. Without that, I'm pretty sure it’d be well under way by now.
And, FWIW, Metrolinx subsequently backed-up that a subway could be justified based on ridership as it was already well into LRT territory and the projected growth pushed it into the subway threshold.
Just like they did with Vaughan Metropolitan Centre...
Fully grade-separate light rail, with 4 car trainsets run at short intervals could easily carry whatever load will exist. Ridiculously high-end estimated 2031 SB peak ridership from Steeles: ~18,800. Again, this is a high-end estimate that didn’t factor in significantly improved and a realigned RH line (or RH-DRL). The 2031 base ridership model merely gave a 15% allocation to GO, assuming it will have:
-15min freq,
-non-electric,
-continue with current circuitous valley routing,
-no fare integration,
-no interchange with B/D or Eglinton, or any point b/n Sheppard and Union.
This is rather substantial. With RER or RH-DRL in place, projected peak ridership on this Yonge extension could literally be cut by thousands and put well back into LRT territory. This be thy “missing linkâ€.
any solution has to seamlessly connect Finch and 7 at this point
....
Practically, the practical move is to figure out the subway at this point.
Has to? Not really. Particularly if like discussed, an interlined RH RER DRL is shortlisted in the next Relief report. Again, plans change. Or morph in response to other plans. Toronto’s history is a testament to that. Network 2011, Let’s Move, MoveOntario 2020 (which had a few flawed and short-sighted election promises). And now The Big Move, which again is not written in stone.
All things considered, Yonge North will continue to be “figured out†for quite some time. For how long is anybody’s guess. But definitely longer than the public, developers, investors, and stakeholders would like. Because this extension is tangled in a multi-municipality web of local politics, and as part of a subway line inherently rife with problems, the project was mired before it even started. Nobody wants that.
Reply if you want, I don’t really care anymore. My stance isn’t merely focused on the Yonge corridor. Whenever there are transit plans that seem to skip over the realistic, flexible, and affordable rapid transit options that exist between street-running operation and astronomically-priced $500M/km all-underground subways; I will question them. But TBH Yonge North is definitely more logical than other past subway promises.
**
This pamphlet is interesting, and has some sweeping statements not unlike those made in this thread:
http://www.vivanext.com/files/PastMeetings/YongeExtension/1105_Addendum.pdf