MetroMan
Senior Member
Over the holidays it's been something of a re-education learning how popular Ford still is among Toronto Sun reading suburbanites. As I had suspected, and stated as much on this thread, these folks dip their toes into local political headlines and really don't have anything close to an understanding of what this fool is all about. Interestingly everyone seems to have a beef here and there with him but the bottom line is people like his "Mayor Every-Guy" approach to running the city, he garners sympathy from being barraged by the media ("the Toronto Star is out to get him") and they eat up his "doing it for the taxpayer" line. It's going to take a very strong challenger to take him on next election and one who runs a very aggressive and smart campaign.
I've found the same sympathy for Ford but I've also found a significant percentage of Rob Ford voters who tell me they were surprised at his policies and inability to work with others. I think there will always be those who support Ford but most people who've been paying attention know that he's not qualified to be Mayor, is an embarrassment to the city and won't vote for him again. The "in retrospect" factor will be important now that Ford voters have had a taste of Ford as Mayor.
If there's a by-election, I don't think he'll get more than 30% regardless of how may run against him. But if too many candidates do run against him, 30% may be all he needs to get back in. If instead there is no by-election and a competent Mayor is appointed, stays out of trouble, is a respected figure with leadership qualities, works well with Council and makes some progress on high profile issues, the contrast will be large and many remaining Ford voters won't want to go back.
I'm cautious, but I'm not too concerned. I think Ford is done.