Mayor Ford's popularity growing again: Poll
By Don Peat ,City Hall Bureau Chief
First posted: Friday, April 20, 2012 04:00 AM EDT
TORONTO - Torontonians are slowly approving of Mayor Rob Ford again.
A new Forum Research poll released exclusively to the Toronto Sun Thursday finds around 47% of Toronto residents approve of the job Ford is doing — up from 41% a month ago. But around 53% of those polled disapprove of the job Ford is doing.
“He’s back from the dead,” Forum president Lorne Bozinoff said Thursday. “People were saying he’s finished but no he’s back on the come back trail.”
Bozinoff said Ford’s approval rating is now at its highest point since it plummeted last summer and into the fall.
“I think he is actually in a good position because he can now campaign against council,” he said. “People say he lost control of council, that might be a good thing ... he can say look what they are doing, I need more support.”
The poll also asked residents about three three-way match-ups Ford could face in his 2014 re-election battle.
All three hypothetical races show Ford could walk away with a win provided he’s one of three strong candidates in any mayoralty race.
“If he’s facing a three-way split, he’s on easy street,” Bozinoff said.
If Ford had to face Councillors Adam Vaughan and Shelley Carroll in a race he would beat them both. Ford would come away with around 40% of the vote compared to 29% for Vaughan and 13% for Carroll, according to the poll.
If Ford had to face Vaughan and TTC Chair Karen Stintz in a three-way race, he would still garner around 40% of the vote while Vaughan would earn 27% of the vote and Stintz 21%.
Even if former Ontario PC leader turned talk show host John Tory threw his hat into a race against Ford and Vaughan, the big guy would come out on top. In that heat, Ford’s support would drop to 33% while both Vaughan and Tory would get 27% of those surveyed.
“A three-way split right now is looking really good for him especially if it is not John Tory who would draw from his side,” Bozinoff said.
Where you live has a lot to do with whether you approve of Ford’s on the job performance so far.
“There is a huge divide in the city by geography,” Bozinoff said.
A stunning 70% of the city’s downtown residents (those who live in the former City of Toronto or East York) disapprove of the job Ford is doing. More than half of those polled in Scarborough and North York approve of the job Ford is doing as mayor (57% and 58% respectively).
Ford’s home turf of Etobicoke slightly disapproves of his performance as mayor - only around 48% approve of him while 52% say they disapprove.
The Forum poll was an interactive voice response telephone survey conducted on April 18 of 812 Toronto residents 18-years-old or older. The poll is considered accurate plus or minus 3.4%, 19 times out of 20.