With regard to the suburbs/downtown "war," I think it should be stated that Ford didn't win with suburban support alone. That's just not true. Nor can he win election without significant support in the downtown either. The numbers just aren't on his side.
I'm a pretty left wing person, but the last election infuriated me for a number of reasons. First, Ford's opponents ran against Miller's record in order to take advantage of the complete made up controversy over the garbage strike in which it was ENTIRELY the doing of Miller and not a labour issue that went well beyond the confines of City Hall (you can thank the Sue Ann Levy brigade with an assist from the middle right Thomson-owned GAM for that). But they were also nervous of alienating the middle left, so as a result, Smitherman and co. didn't have a coherent message whatsoever.
Ford, whose populist, contrarian candidacy wasn't bound by any such delicacies, ran a simple, clear message: I will stop the big spending at City Hall and fight for the taxpayer. He didn't need a specific plan or set of promises, just: "if the left likes it, it's bad, I'm against it." After years of Miller and the recent garbage strike, that message resonated.
The thing is, the left had a golden opportunity to fight them on the other flank to win suburban votes, but all they had was Joey Pants. The message could have been: "Transit City will make your commute to work faster, and because of that, raise the property value of your home. It will open up businesses in the suburbs, too. And the best part is the plan is already in place and agreed to with the province!" Instead, the left did what it always does in this town: parrot the same old bullshit about bicycles and yell stammering in Ford's face, "This guy is a maniac!" I mean, they were right, but that was never a strategy to win votes.
My biggest fear is that Chow will fail to learn the lesson of the last election, and just run on the same old tired crap without even bothering to reach out and take suburban issues seriously on terms suburban voters care about. And that will pave the way for Ford to get re-elected as the vote is yet again split by weak-kneed opportunists on the right of the spectrum like Stintz and Tory.