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Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (nCoV-2019)

innsertnamehere said:
The pandemic is ending rapidly globally. Those in denial of that are ignoring all the signs.
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No doubt. As I said I can see it being over by the fall at least with majority of the restrictions. Much like with SARS I can see nations imposing testing at the borders for quite some time but with that being said, I don't see quarantine or mask restrictions being required past the summer.
 
733 new cases today; positivity 2.8%

Hospitalizations way down (96) to 708

ICU still declining very slowly at 576 ( a reduction of 7)

While people on ventilators actually rose yesterday.

From John Michael Mcgrath's Twitter:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1400097218955202562
 
Monday was Memorial Day which likely impacted reporting in the US. Tuesday was 13000 which is more in line with recent reporting.
 
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innsertnamehere said:
733 cases in Ontario today - 7 day average down to 978 and continuing to fall.

Canada also passed the UK in first doses administered today.

Regarding the US case load - summer lull or not by the time fall comes around vaccination rates will be high enough to keep case loads down. The US also didn't really experience a summer lull last year like Canada did. The country does also have an elevated level of natural immunity that will likely offset a bit of their lower overall vaccination rate.

Yesterday's US case count is about 1/3 of the lowest numbers posted there last summer.

The pandemic is ending rapidly globally. Those in denial of that are ignoring all the signs.
Click to expand...

 
DSC said:
Thursdays almost always see a bump. Ontario is reporting 870 cases of #COVID19 and nearly 34,300 tests completed.
Click to expand...

Still good - day to day variations doesn't really matter that much; the declining trend still holds. The interesting thing would be to see whether there will be a floor to the daily new cases.

AoD
 
innsertnamehere said:
733 cases in Ontario today - 7 day average down to 978 and continuing to fall.

Canada also passed the UK in first doses administered today.

Regarding the US case load - summer lull or not by the time fall comes around vaccination rates will be high enough to keep case loads down. The US also didn't really experience a summer lull last year like Canada did. The country does also have an elevated level of natural immunity that will likely offset a bit of their lower overall vaccination rate.

Yesterday's US case count is about 1/3 of the lowest numbers posted there last summer.

The pandemic is ending rapidly globally. Those in denial of that are ignoring all the signs.
Click to expand...
It’s not the case count I watch but the ICU, hospitalizations and deaths. They’re still at near record highs in Ontario.
 
Admiral Beez said:
It’s not the case count I watch but the ICU, hospitalizations and deaths. They’re still at near record highs in Ontario.
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And falling.

they are lagging indicators - cases lead to hospitalizations several weeks later. With the last month of case numbers we know hospitalizations will continue to fall for a while.
 
innsertnamehere said:
And falling.

they are lagging indicators - cases lead to hospitalizations several weeks later. With the last month of case numbers we know hospitalizations will continue to fall for a while.
Click to expand...

On the 17th of May.........

There were over (Covid-related) 1,400 hospitalizations. (in Ontario)

And just a bit under 800 in ICU.

*****

June 3rd:

Hospitalizations: Just over 700; a reduction of ~ 50%

ICU: 546; a reduction of ~ 30% of earlier levels.
 
Ontario is reporting 914 cases of #COVID19 and nearly 32,300 tests completed.

4june.jpg
 
AlvinofDiaspar said:
At 50% overall vaccination their pandemic isn't likely to be over - it looks more a summer lull (and certain states are more vulnerable given a vaccination rate far below the national average). We might do better given we will probably hit a much higher rate.

AoD
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Yeah, it's tragically trending up again in Brazil, with the second wave there never really ending, only ebbing slightly. They are now at about three straight months with an average of more than ~1,800 dead per day, every day, and often many hundreds more.
They will hit half a million dead soon.
 
Thankfully, it appears we have not seen any meaningful May 24 spike. Warmer weather and outdoor parties help, but having a high number of first vaccinations is more likely the reason.
 
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Jonny5 said:
Yeah, it's tragically trending up again in Brazil, with the second wave there never really ending, only ebbing slightly. They are now at about three straight months with an average of more than ~1,800 dead per day, every day, and often many hundreds more.
They will hit half a million dead soon.
Click to expand...
You have to feel bad for Brazil. You can say what you want about the Ford government but the best thing they did was expanding who they listened to. Ford could have said "free ice cream for everybody!" and the teacher's unions would have contradicted him. Not a Ford fan but he has matured in this situation.
 
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