A 12-car bilevel train has close to 2,000 seats. That’s more than the combined ridership for any month during which this experiment lasted:
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There have been multiple issues from which this service suffered:
- Slow travel speeds over the GEXR Guelp Sub
- The long distance and travel time (especially from Toronto)
- The low frequency (once per day)
However, the biggest issue was that with only a single frequency, you have to offer commuter-friendly arrival and departure times wherever people work and it’s just impossible to simultaneously hit Kitchener, Guelph, Brampton and Toronto at the right spot, especially if the latter is almost 4 hours away…
Why? People can transfer fine if the connection times are reasonable and the number of people who want to travel from, say, London to Kingston is dwarfed by those travelling from/to Toronto. You may want to search the “VIA Rail” thread for “gravity model” to get some idea of how various O-D demand potentials compare with each other…
You seem to be assuming that the Ontarian government is just waiting for VIA to leave SWO, so that they can run their own intercity trains to Lomdon, Sarnia and Windsor. Nobody is stopping them from offering these services themselves or for paying VIA to expand these services. But as again the failed GO-to-London experiment showed, GO can only be successful where it has sufficient infrastructure access to reasonably fast, frequent and reliable slots.
VIA’s Siemens order had an option for the procurement of 16 additional trainsets, but there was no point in exercising it as long as nobody knows whether and how HxR will be built:
If HxR doesn’t get built, you won’t have any slots to deploy these extra trains and if HSR get’s built, you will already have a surplus of trains as HSR services would require their own, dedicated and much faster fleet. Activating the option only makes sense if you build HFR as the 177-200 km/h fast scenario as which it was originally envisioned, but that doesn’t really sound like what you are hoping for, so what exactly is your problem here?
Sure, let’s kill off something which has both funding and a sizeable ridership/revenue base and replace it with something which has neither! That’s
@micheal_can thinking in a nutshell: