Seems Niagara is expecting commuter service (ie non seasonal) to begin as soon as 2016
http://m.niagarathisweek.com/news-s...al&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
That would be good news for Hamilton, and its economy too, plus
it saves Metrolinx $750 million dollars.
They are making James North the "hub" for train transfers between the Niagara Express and the Lakeshore West line.
- This makes JamesNorth a more major hub station
- This makes frequent all day Lakeshore West service to Hamilton a higher priority, to maximize convenience.
- That brings people to Hamilton who may decide to spend time in the area (Hamilton/James Street businesses)
- Delays by Welland Canal will not interfere with downstream Lakeshore West service.
For all-day GO Niagara Express to be practical, they had to split it off separately from all-day Lakeshore West. The train transfer is somewhat of an inconvenience, but with 30-min all day service and 20-min peak service at JamesNorth (like Aldershot already has today, but shifting to JamesNorth instead), it would probably work fine. The train transfer saves Metrolinx $750 million dollars, since they won't start all-day Lakeshore West service to Niagara because random Welland canal delays will delay a Lakeshore West train. Commuters and transit users heading downtown from Burlington or Clarkson will be annoyed by a 14-minute-late train that started its commute in Niagara, and got delayed by Welland Canal. By splitting the Niagara Express and Lakeshore West into two separate routes that interchange at Hamilton's JamesNorth, that eliminates uncontrolled delays for Lakeshore West trains. They can grade-separate Welland later (someday) when it becomes practical.
As a result, I would think the capital cost of extending to Niagara (surge of trains at peak, plus 2 hourly all day) becomes almost the same as extending to Stoney Creek, e.g. approx $150M capital to Stoney Creek versus slightly above $200M capital all the way to Niagara. Hamiltonians can commute to Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls can go to Hamilton, Toronto can go to Hamilton, Hamilton can go to Toronto, or Niagara to Toronto via a transfer. Making JamesNorth a true hub. With Toronto Union, Hamilton JamesNorth, and Niagara Train station the city respective train hubs, especially when future Niagara )and Hamilton improves public transit to these stations. At certain times I do now see an increasing number of reverse commuters on Lakeshore West, such as McMaster students going from Toronto to Hamilton on Lakeshore West so 2-way pairs of train service between Toronto-Hamilton and Hamilton-Niagara, makes a whole lot of sense in the next 10 years especially when improving public transit to the respective city station hubs.