In York-South Weston, Nunziata endorsed Bailao so that might have helped her there. In Davenport, Bailao getting over 30% I think is surprising, given how far left this part of the city is - her history there is probably why but I don't think anyone expected that her number would be that high there. For Scarborough, I do think the fact that Olivia Chow is of East-Asian background helps her here (same with Willowdale), in a way that any other left/progressive candidate might not get, not sure if this is indicative of Scarborough becoming more progressive or the cultural vote coming out (remember Myers had a unique win, while most of the rest of Scarb did not elect progressives last year). As for Etobicoke being "so Conservative", Bailao was the "Liberal" candidate, not the conservative candidate, so I don't know if that discussion tracks, but they are definitely not not as "left-leaning" as Scarborough appears to have been this time around, but I do think Morley might be a 1-term councillor given the Etobicoke-Lakeshore results. There was no "Liberal" candidate last time there (Grimes was the Centre/Right vs Morley, so if there was a centrist option, E-L might have gone for it).