2023 Toronto Mayoral by-election

[adma]

I'm also definitely getting a vibe of advance polling making a difference. (Particularly given how individual ward results shifted Chow-ward)

 

[GenerationW]

Looks like Chow is pulling ahead and will win, but I didn't expect this at all.

 

[Fresco]

Is this the closest Toronto mayoral election ever??

I'm trying to think back, but I cant remember one being this close

 

[JGHali]

Interestingly enough, though, her vote share is consistent with polling.

 

[Fresco]

Chow up 17,000 now.

Its over, rover

 

[Jonny5]

LOL at the Bailao media PR person saying "we're seeing momentum now"

 

[Northern Light]

Interestingly enough, though, her vote share is consistent with polling.

Chow's share is in the ballpark, but Bailao is overshooting substantially.

So it would appear she did become the anybody but Chow candidate. She's showing what, 10 points over who her best poll?

 

[adma]

Is this the closest Toronto mayoral election ever??

I'm trying to think back, but I cant remember one being this close

Art Eggleton won by less than a point over John Sewell in '80.

 

[afransen]

Somewhat reassuring that the right wing loonies are well-underperforming.

 

[adma]

Interestingly enough, though, her vote share is consistent with polling.

Yeah, I'm hearing CP24 pundits talking about Olivia "falling short"--she *didn't*, really; it's just that Bailao "fell long"...

 

[adma]

Art Eggleton won by less than a point over John Sewell in '80.

And now the OliviAna margin's verging on 5 points--which isn't much below Miller vs Tory in '03 (and because their respective shares are lower than those of Miller & Tory, it practically sizes up the same)

 

[Jonny5]

Global News has called a Chow win.

 

[GenerationW]

Global News has called a Chow win.

As did CP24.

 

[allengeorge]

 

[allengeorge]

Chow's share is in the ballpark, but Bailao is overshooting substantially.

So it would appear she did become the anybody but Chow candidate. She's showing what, 10 points over who her best poll?

So far she’s almost spot-on Mainstreet’s last poll.