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News Roundup for September 9, 2024
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2022/24 Russian-Ukrainian War

kEiThZ said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1578855278107561985
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How about we just stay the course? NATO arming Ukraine with progressively more powerful weaponry and the AFU continue to push the Russians out of Ukraine, including Crimea. Do we have any indication that this is not getting the results NATO and Ukraine want?

That said, looking at the map clearly Russia must hold Kherson city. If that falls, there’s little to stop AFU run to Crimea. So, I don’t expect Kherson city to fall before March 2023.
 
Bjays92 said:
Kerch bridge has been hit?

Happy bday Putin!
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Was it a truck bomb? Russians may claim a truck accident?

9ACC4D3A-F37E-4C53-AB71-77433FBE366C.jpeg
 
Busy morning this morning. Russia decided to bombard all major Ukrainian cities during rush hour in retaliation for the Kerch bridge attack.

Sharing tweets for pictures and videos because it's a good reminder of just how brutal this war is.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579465601231507457

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579349215251402752

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579351798120611840

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579361948759916544

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579364269275381761

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1579372628846186497?t=VEvTXyLIRXv4labHHSxlkA&s=19

https://twitter.com/Mariana_Betsa/status/1579365216630214657?t=cZMLUcQ27dPvJAmqjjE1Dw&s=19


Looks as though some missiles were intended to max civillan casualties, others may have been intended for government buildings and just missed, or its a possible warning shot with Russia saying we will hit the city center but we didn't hit any key buildings this time. Hard to really gauge what Russia is thinking aside from maximum fear and casualties. Don't want to over or underestimate them, but I did hear these were iskandars so they should've been about as accurate as missiles get.

Screenshot from The Guardian:

Screenshot_20221010-111221_Chrome.jpg



More from the Guardian:

Ukrainian military intelligence has said that Russia had been planning Monday’s missile strikes on Ukrainian cities since the start of October.

Russian troops “received instructions from the Kremlin to prepare massive missile strikes on the civilian infrastructure of Ukraine on October 2 and 3”, the intelligence arm of the Ukrainian defence ministry said in a statement.

The statement continued:
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The military units of the strategic and long-range aviation received orders to prepare for the task of massive missile attacks. The objects of critical civil infrastructure and the central areas of densely populated Ukrainian cities were identified as targets.
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Then some other also significant developments.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579392919785857026

Amidst more reports that Russia is trying to drag Belarus into the war.

From the Guardian:

Lukashenko: Belarus and Russia will deploy a joint military task force​

Belarusian leader, Alexander Lukashenko, said Belarus and Russia would deploy a joint military task force on the country’s western borders in response to what he called an aggravation of tension, the state-run Belta news agency reported.

Reuters reports the agency quotes Lukashenko as saying the two countries would deploy a regional military group, and had started pulling forces together two days ago, apparently after the explosion on Russia’s bridge to Crimea.

The Russian state-owned RIA Novosti agency reports Lukashenko as saying: “This is all according to our documents. If the threat level reaches the current level, as it is now, we begin to use the union state grouping.”
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Finally, the sabotage on Europe appears to be continuing.

 
They are trying to take their frustrations out on civilians. At some point the West has to bite the bullet and start giving Ukrainians the air defence, tanks and missiles they need to win. The Ukrainians are operating without all that. And they can win without all that. The price they are paying is much higher though.
 
We've seen this sort of thing before, sic Moskva. It's really weak - reprisal attacks on clearly, and solely civilian targets in response to having their strategic link damaged - it meant that they had nothing. And if he think he will rattle the Ukrainians with that, he'd be out to lunch.

AoD
 
AlvinofDiaspar said:
We've seen this sort of thing before, sic Moskva. It's really weak - reprisal attacks on clearly, and solely civilian targets in response to having their strategic link damaged - it meant that they had nothing. And if he think he will rattle the Ukrainians with that, he'd be out to lunch.

AoD
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If anything it will embolden them.
 
AlvinofDiaspar said:
We've seen this sort of thing before, sic Moskva. It's really weak - reprisal attacks on clearly, and solely civilian targets in response to having their strategic link damaged - it meant that they had nothing. And if he think he will rattle the Ukrainians with that, he'd be out to lunch.

AoD
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Ukrainian Intelligence claims these strikes were planned weeks ago in response to territorial losses. So this is not actually the response to the bridge. That may, or may not, come later.
 
kEiThZ said:
Ukrainian Intelligence claims these strikes were planned weeks ago in response to territorial losses. So this is not actually the response to the bridge. That may, or may not, come later.
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Yup. Also we have not seen attacks on this scale or this close to the heart of cities like Kyiv.

Russia did lash out after the sinking of the Moskva but not like this. With Surovokin taking over it's possible we could expect this level of brutality to become more frequent.

I'm not a super big fan of what I'm hearing out of Belarus at the moment either. I'm still not sure they have any intention of entering the war, but Russia has been trying to drag them in from day one.

I also think any renewed attempt at a northern offensive would be useless and fail miserably, but Russia may just be willing to throw lives away to force Ukraine to divert forces.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1579504475202781184
 
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