Jasmine18
Senior Member
If anyone is safe in this election, it’s downtown Liberal Toronto MPP’s. NDP voters will turn out in droves for the Liberals like they did when Hudak was a threat.
The NDP is going to be decimated this election.
While I won’t write off Doug Ford winning the election, Wynne is in a better position tonight. Had it been Elliott, Wynne would have almost certainly lost. With Ford, she now has a real contrast and a boogeyman to run against.
It’s hard to know until the campaign progresses but if Ford runs his campaign like the PCs ran this leadership race, I think Wynne will be re-elected. At the very worst, Ford will win the election but no way can he win a majority. It’ll be an embarrassing year for the PCs, the Liberals will box him in opposition and choose a new leader before triggering a new election.
But if I had to place a bet now, I’d say that this election looks a lot like the last one. An anybody but Ford movement from the left, centre and even right, propels the Liberals to another accidental majority.
I think you need to go outside of Downtown, Wynne is so deeply unpopular its crazy and frankly as I have shown her unpopularity is far far far greater than in 2014, so this is not like 2014 at all...This is a much bigger hill To climb.
I think the desire to get rid of the liberals will be stronger then stop the Doug Ford movement outside of Downtown Toronto.
The only places that such a feeling will be great will be in already safe Liberal ridings...
I think you guys forget that Etobicoke and Scarborough went mostly for Ford?
You think they will just go all remain solid Liberal now?
I think this election will see a much higher turnout and Wynne cant count on a 50% turnout to propel her to false majorities anymore.