BurlOak
Senior Member
Chow's on the way up.
How about D. Ford. He has gone from 0% to 28% in a week. At this rate, he will be at 210% at the election
Chow's on the way up.
How about D. Ford. He has gone from 0% to 28% in a week. At this rate, he will be at 210% at the election
"For example, look at Precinct 451 in the capital Grozny,where Putin got 1,482 votes and (former Communist leader Gennady) Zyuganov got one. Terrific vote. Except that only 1,389 people were registered to vote in the precinct. That means the turnout was 107 percent."
Uh ... it's Russia. It's rigged.I guess they allow vouching to encourage the walk-up voter. I think Canada eliminated it and now you need proper ID.
~The most credible of the bunch (like it or not) is Forum who had Tory 41%, DFord 34% and Chow 19%. If u remove the undecideds we have Tory 43%, DFord 36% and Chow 20%
I'd suggest following Eric Grenier's analyses at http://www.threehundredeight.com/p/municipal.html (which is similar at Tory 44%, Ford 29%, and Chow 26%).So using the same formula I did (pretty successfully) I will average out the polls and put weight on the more credible poll (forum). I got Tory 45%, DFord 30%, and Chow 25%.
We are starting to get a bit of an overview now with three post deadline polls that came out
~The most credible of the bunch (like it or not) is Forum who had Tory 41%, DFord 34% and Chow 19%. If u remove the undecideds we have Tory 43%, DFord 36% and Chow 20%
~The second on the list is Ipsos, who has had a horrible record recently with the last two federal and municipal elections. They have Tory 43%, Chow 29%, and DFord 28%
~Third on the list is Mainstream Tech. Now I tried to find any past results from them, and I couldn't find any, I just seem polling results for a local focus of upcoming federal election (905, montreal etc) They did predict the Liberal majority in the last election which is more than can be said for Ipsos & a lot of other polling firms but I haven't seen any specific numbers from Mainstream tech. But here is there numbers for this election, Tory 51%, Chow 30%, and DFord 18%
So using the same formula I did (pretty successfully) I will average out the polls and put weight on the more credible poll (forum). I got Tory 45%, DFord 30%, and Chow 25%.
The Forum poll was a snap poll. Much like the much-debated 'Robbie's back' outlier, this is useless at predicting an outcome for an election in October.
That STOP sign with the ROB FORD decal on it, doesn't look like it's located in Ward 2. They pranksters should have created a DOUG FORD decal instead, and saved the ROB FORD decal for Etobicoke's Ward 2.
Nah.
Not a bump that could threaten Tory's lead anyway.