http://news.nationalpost.com/2010/1...litical-panel-a-rough-year-ahead-for-council/
Gurney My sense on the transit file is that Queen’s Park will be more supportive than you might expect, given that they have enough to worry about right now without opening a new front against Toronto. Will they offer up more cash? Doubtful, but I imagine they’ll be flexible about using the dollar figure they’d already been reconciled to in ways that will suit Ford’s agenda. That being said, to address Chris’s question, my guess for the traffic/transit situation to be found one year from today is “incrementally worse.” A year from now we’ll have more people, more cars and the same roads and same transit lines. That’ll be the case for years ahead, too. So if you guys were wondering what you should have put in my stocking, an audiobook would have been great for all the time I’m going to spend idling. No transit plan can substantially address that in the short term. We’ve gone too far down the tubes for quick fixes.
Gurney For sure the Tories will want to tap into Ford’s achievement, but as I said, the Liberals will want to play ball, too. They need at least calm on the Toronto front, if not outright co-operation. (Unlikely, but hey.) While we won’t know details until the provincial platforms are laid out, in the abstract it is a good time to be negotiating from the city’s side of the table. Whether or not any of the other levels of government will have any cash to pony up in addition to their goodwill is another issue altogether. And that’ll be the same approach the city takes into its talks with the labour unions, too. Just without all the goodwill.
I think Gurney has a realistic view of the political atmosphere surrounding Toronto and it's transit needs and how the province might react. Logically, Metrolinx and the province saying no to Ford's plans and imposing Transit City will surely backfire. They know full well they would have Rob Ford being loud (and we all know he can) about how it's the province's fault the city will be without subways. The liberals don't want and are in no position to deal with that for a full year before the election and the campaign.
More money? Probably not.
Accomodating Ford? More likely than you think. Metrolinx offering elevated trains is already a sign that they are leaning towards that direction. Having them saying that Transit City is still on the table is not surprising and it was very predictable. They want the support of the outer GTA and saying yes to whatever Toronto wants would be seen as a sign of weakness and they don't want to make that mistake too early on. They are waiting to see how things will play out with the council vote and with the TTC and their new plan.
I believe Sheppard LRT is dead. The province is fighting the city to save Eglinton (Which makes sense, boring machines bought) and they are right to do so since Ford made Sheppard the number 1 priority (and he's wrong).
The Liberals are nervous for the following reasons
-The Feds winning Vaughan
-Ford winning Toronto
-Anti-McGuinty wave hitting Ontario
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/6/6f/Ontario2007.png
By judging by the map above, the liberals losing Toronto would be a disaster.
One thing you can be damn sure. The liberals won't risk losing over Toronto transit, a project that Miller designed and not them.
This is how politics works
1-They will go along with it and if Ford's plan is a disaster, they'll blame the whole thing on him
2-If it's a success and/or most people are satisfied, they'll give themselves credit for listening to Toronto
Win-Win
"Regionally, EKOS said the Conservatives and Liberals are deadlocked in a statistical tie in Ontario, including the Greater Toronto, which the pollster declared "will be the key battleground in the next election."
Read more:
http://www.cbc.ca/politics/story/2010/12/09/ekos-voter-intention-poll.html#ixzz19cycRk8d
I predict the Conservative will be more generous towards Toronto since they have a realistic chance to win seats within the GTA and Toronto.
To conclude, like Gurney said, Toronto's gridlock (being one of the worse in North America) is so bad that short terms solutions won't do anything at this point. Rapid Transit is needed at this point, no matter in what shape or form that might be.