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Toronto: Safer than you think

St. Even

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Now if only somebody would tell this to the national media......


Toronto: Safer than you think
City's crime rate is ranked 26th in Canada, lower than most other urban centres, survey finds


Mar 14, 2008 04:30 AM
Noor Javed
Staff Reporter

Watch your shadow. Lock your doors. Program 9-1-1 into your speed dial because this is, after all, a dangerous city.

Or so we thought.

On a list of the country's 100 most dangerous cities, Toronto doesn't even make it into the top 20, according to this week's cover story in Maclean's magazine.

Toronto was ranked 26th on the list, lower than most other urban centres including Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary and Regina, which was the most dangerous city.

"These results show what we've been saying for a long time," said Mark Pugash, a Toronto police spokesperson. "Toronto is, was and remains one of the safest cities in the country."

And many of the GTA's suburbs are even more crime-proof, with Halton, Peel and York regions in the top 20 safest places to live. The town of Caledon, north of Brampton, was named safest community.

The rankings were tabulated using 2006 Statistics Canada crime data – including homicides, sexual assaults, vehicle thefts, robberies and break-ins – for municipal police services in the most populous 100 cities or regions.

The numbers may say one thing, but fly in the face of a deteriorating public perception of Toronto, seen as a hub of urban violence where guns and gangs run rampant.

"Most people in Toronto think crime is going up and we are much more dangerous than we were 10 to 15 years ago," said Scot Wortley, a criminology professor at the University of Toronto. "Our homicide rate in Toronto was higher in the '70s than it is now."

Wortley blames the "fear-filled" perception of our neighbourhoods squarely on the media, which tend to focus on crime. "The fact is there is a big difference between perception and reality – and a lot of what people know about crime, they know from the media," he said.

An increased coverage of crime in mainstream media and the national interest in Toronto's sensational crimes play a part in tarnishing the city's image.

"If there is a crime like the Jane Creba shooting in Toronto, it is going to be national news ... People in Toronto very rarely hear about or care about murders that take place in Regina."

According to the list, Regina, Saskatoon and Winnipeg were the three most dangerous cities.

"In 2006, the GTA, including Mississauga and Peel, had a population of about 5,418,000 and there were 99 homicide victims," said Wortley. "In Regina, there were nine homicides but a population of only 200,000. If you looked at just the numbers, you would say Regina must be a much safer place."

But that doesn't take population size into account, he said. The homicide rate in Regina is 4.5 per 100,000 people. In Toronto, it's 1.8 homicides for 100,000 people.

The other influence is the rhetoric of law enforcement officials or politicians who focus on crime to garner public sympathy to boost budgets or foster their image as tough-on-crime crusaders, said Wortley.

But it is an increased presence of police on city streets that has helped keep crime rates down, said Pugash. "We have more officers on the streets patrolling than we have had in many, many years. One thing is clear – the public likes more police officers, and feel safer as a result."

How the cities were ranked

To assemble the rankings of the most dangerous and safest cities, Maclean's magazine used 2006 crime data from the Canadian Centre of Justice Statistics. The magazine then calculated the percentage difference from the national rate for six crimes – homicide, sexual assault, aggravated assault, vehicle theft, robbery plus breaking and entering – to determine the overall scores. Read the complete rankings here.
 
Now if only somebody would tell this to the national media......

But then, Toronto would no longer be safer than we think. If we weren't manipulated, we'd have a good sense of exactly how safe Toronto is. :)
 
The other influence is the rhetoric of law enforcement officials or politicians who focus on crime to garner public sympathy to boost budgets or foster their image as tough-on-crime crusaders, said Wortley.

But it is an increased presence of police on city streets that has helped keep crime rates down, said Pugash. "We have more officers on the streets patrolling than we have had in many, many years. One thing is clear – the public likes more police officers, and feel safer as a result."

I don't buy that for one minute. They still want more cops year after year even though they aren't necessary.
 
I do have a beef with the article though. It mentions Creba. The worry isn't about "what is the chance I will die" (as indicated by deaths per capita figure) but rather "what are the chances I will die in a random murder", that is as an "innocent bystander"?
 
I guess I should further say that in general, people are insensitive to gang members shooting each other (as much as I don't want to admit it, I am apathetic to gangs murdering each other).

The "shock and awe" is when bystanders get caught in the middle.
 
I guess I should further say that in general, people are insensitive to gang members shooting each other (as much as I don't want to admit it, I am apathetic to gangs murdering each other).

The "shock and awe" is when bystanders get caught in the middle.

Well, of course. To feel sorry for a gang member getting shot would be like feeling sorry for a boxer getting punched. It's what they do.
 
The other influence is the rhetoric of law enforcement officials or politicians who focus on crime to garner public sympathy to boost budgets or foster their image as tough-on-crime crusaders, said Wortley.

But it is an increased presence of police on city streets that has helped keep crime rates down, said Pugash. "We have more officers on the streets patrolling than we have had in many, many years. One thing is clear – the public likes more police officers, and feel safer as a result."

What utter rubbish. They seem incapable of solving the real issues, and crime hotspots (like Jane & Finch), and then take credit for the lack of murders in the Annex.

The only cops I see in my neighbourhood are the ones setting up a speed trap on Rogers in the Mount Prospect Cemetery.
 
The only cops I see in my neighbourhood are the ones setting up a speed trap on Rogers in the Mount Prospect Cemetery.

Exactly!

The only police officers I see are those that are setting up speed traps or are parked in vacant lots chatting amongst each other.

Crime comes in spurts. I do not think it has anything to do with more officers or proactive policing.

Police agencies seem like they are more interested in making money than anything else. The OPP is a great example of that.
 
If you're a regular, middle class family living in the city, uninvolved with drugs or crime, you're IMO perfectly safe, and highly unlikely to at risk of violence.

Now, if you're in a poor, single-parent household, located in a rough area of town, and are involved in drugs or crime, then you might feel unsafe.
 
The problem seems is that more and more people in Toronto belong to the latter...
 
I guess I should further say that in general, people are insensitive to gang members shooting each other (as much as I don't want to admit it, I am apathetic to gangs murdering each other).

The "shock and awe" is when bystanders get caught in the middle.

Be careful now, your prejudice is showing :rolleyes:!

I preceive that the general public's attitude about crime and gangs by and large reflects that of rpgr's. We've become so desensitized to the violence, we just dismiss the social issues behind its cause in a "not my problem" summation. It was only when the innocent little white girl died that the countless statisitcs that were gunned down before her even mattered to the mainstream media.

Now, if you're in a poor, single-parent household, located in a rough area of town, and are involved in drugs or crime, then you might feel unsafe.

Alot of that's just exaggeration and xenophobia. Bloor and Lansdowne's always toted as one of the most dangerous corners in the GTA. However even after midnight I was able to wait upto 20 mins for a connecting bus with no form of security around. Alot of women were there as well, all calm and relaxed. Panhandlers were the the closest thing to imminent danger I ever saw there, so relatively safe.
 
Dentrobate makes a great point.

I walked around the city until dawn with Tuscani and another classmate on Nuit Blanche, and I never once had to look over my shoulder.
 

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