Is growth really so significant that siphoning off a third of peak ridership and increasing train frequency isn't enough to handle all the new riders?
Before the pandemic,
the vast majority of North American transit systems (with the rare exceptions of Seattle and Vancouver) were seeing decreases in ridership.
Even before the pandemic TTC ridership was decreasing. While Line 1 might be different from the network as a whole, maybe the assumptions of explosive ridership growth need to be looked at in the context of ridesharing, autonomous vehicles, COVID, telecommuting, and other headwinds.
The SmartTrack Relief Study also showed an impact (
17% reduction on Yonge at Bloor) from RER-ifying the Stouffville line. The point is that a significant portion, if not the majority, of Yonge line ridership is from transfers. Offering faster alternative north/south routes is a more effective way of offering relief at Yonge/Bloor than expensive retrofits that provide no travel time benefit to riders.
Bloor-Yonge is a perfectly adequate, even if not ideal, interchange. Before spending $1.1 billion on excavating the TTC's busiest interchange while still operating, pinned in between Canada's largest buildings, you could spend that money more effectively by building the OL.
- If that isn't enough, instead of spending $1.1 billion on a few escalators extend the OL north from Eglinton to Sheppard
- If that isn't enough, instead of spending $1.1 billion on a few escalators extend the OL north from Sheppard to Steeles
- If that isn't enough, instead of spending $1.1 billion on a few escalators extend the OL northwest from Exhibition to intercept Line 2
- If that isn't enough, instead of spending $1.1 billion on a few escalators electrify and RER-ify the Stouffville line
- If that isn't enough, instead of spending $1.1 billion on a few escalators electrify and RER-ify the Richmond Hill line
If you've done that and Yonge is still at capacity, then I'll concede that this is needed. But I think we need to step back and ask whether this is really providing value or if there are more effective ways to accomplish the same thing.
The renderings
in the report also show platforms without any PEDs and lists PEDs as a separate line item. So it looks extremely doubtful that it is part of the scope. Projects like this normally get de-scoped to stay in budget, they don't get useful add-ons.
View attachment 277115
View attachment 277117
I.e. for the cost of these escalators ($1.1 billion), we could retrofit almost the
entire system with PEDs ($1.3 billion) and see an actual safety/capacity/reliability improvement.