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PM Mark Carney's Canada

adma said:
Doly would probably register as "generic Liberal", in the same way that, from his opposite end of the ideological spectrum, Tom Wappel did.
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Tom Wappel was known for being a bible thumping liberal.

He won the riding but he was definitely a Blue Liberal.

He suggested creating detainment camps for refugees and came down hard on law enforcement.
 
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Richard White said:
Tom Wappel was known for being a bible thumping liberal.

He won the riding but he was definitely a Blue Liberal.

He suggested creating detainment camps for refugees and came down hard on law enforcement.
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I know; that's what I meant by "opposite end of the ideological spectrum". But as per my "generic Liberal" point, in the Chretien/Martin era especially, voters voted for the brand, not for the person, because the other contender parties were perceived as not ready for prime time.
 
thettctransitfanatic said:
Scarborough Southwest is still likely to go Liberal, IMO, because the NDP remains a mess. University Rosedale for sure goes Liberal, leaving the residents of Terrebonne, Quebec as the kingmakers. That will easily be the most important byelection in Canadian history. Supreme Court nullifed the 1 vote Liberal win there, and there was some upset about how Elections Canada fumbled the vote counting in the riding, leading to the 1 vote win. It is very much a tossup IMO, even though PM Carney has proven unexpectedly popular in Quebec, even despite his lack of good French...
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Liberals are on the upswing but five weeks is a very long time in politics so anything can happen. A wildcard in these races could be the spike in gas prices due to the Iran war and could quickly turn into a central issue considering Carney's support for the US-Israeli strikes, in particular in Terrebonne. A silverlining for the Liberals would be that the CPC couldn't use the issue to attack them considering they also supported the mission, but i'm sure they'll find a way.
 
guavadelic said:
Liberals are on the upswing but five weeks is a very long time in politics so anything can happen. A wildcard in these races could be the spike in gas prices due to the Iran war and could quickly turn into a central issue considering Carney's support for the US-Israeli strikes, in particular in Terrebonne. A silverlining for the Liberals would be that the CPC couldn't use the issue to attack them considering they also supported the mission, but i'm sure they'll find a way.
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University Rosedale is a downtown riding so it would be affected by gas prices less. The other two, yes, and keep in mind Terrebonne is a Liberal vs BQ fight. CPC is not much of a factor in that riding. I think what will be more of a factor is the question of, do we want to give Carney a majority. That will probably be a ballot box question in Terrebonne. Though in all honesty, University Rosedale is very safe riding for them, and Scarborough Southwest is very likely to go their way, so I wouldn't necessarily say that.
 
kEiThZ said:
You can tell all that from their photo and name?


Interesting.
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It's been a reoccurring issue here in Scarborough Southwest.

The parties consistently put in Candidates who would do well in Malvern or Rouge River but not in Birchcliff or the Bluffs.

In the past couple decades the parties have been trying to appeal to the new canadian immigrant vote. Unfortunately, Scarborough Southwest has alot of old money and multi-generational homes.

I saw it first hand with the NDP as I said and it's why I left their riding executive here.

I get it, the riding is changing but you need to reflect the current demographics of the area not what you think they are.

Oh and @kEiThZ I know where you're going with this. No it's not that.
 
I would think this is another area where Mexico and Canada have a similar interest!

1773147000250.png
 
Richard White said:
I saw the candidates online and honestly, I can see this being a very low turnout. The Candidates are the same as the last election and honestly, they don't represent me.

I sincerely hope I don't offend anyone when I say this but the Candidates are quite ethnic and don't represent me or my way of life. They are designed to appeal to the immigrant population and not to the people who have lived in Canada or Scarborough for generations.
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Ummm, have you read the demographic breakdown for Scarborough South-west?

1773148334736.png


This is one very diverse constituency:

1773148405483.png



Find more info here:


The person running for the Liberals is Dolly Begum - a Muslim woman, of Bangladeshi origin. This area has a very large population of Bengali expats, and a large selection of retail businesses owned and operated by same.
She was also victorious in her last couple of elections as the sitting MPP

The local councillor is Parthi Kandavel, Parthi is Sri Lankan by background.

Assuming you describe your background as British (Canadian), that group, inclusive of Irish,would be 20% of the community, far from a majority.

I live in the riding next door, so I can't speak to the constituency service provided by either of the sitting politicians, but do you have any experience suggesting they are bad at representing the broader interests of their community?

I'm not an enthusiast for Parthi as he is anti-cycling, and mediocre on many other needs in the community in his political stands. But I don't think those shortcomings relate to where his family came from, or his name etc.

Weird take.
 
Richard White said:
I get it, the riding is changing but you need to reflect the current demographics of the area not what you think they are.
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As seen in Northern Light's post, I think you're the one out of touch with the demographics of your riding.

Richard White said:
Oh and @kEiThZ I know where you're going with this. No it's not that.
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Oh I think it's exactly that. Nobody likes to actually admit their biases (or worse).

Again. You didn't once mention looking at platforms or local pledges. Your entire post was about the ethnicity of candidates supposedly not matching demographics (which you were also wrong on). So you can see why I (and maybe others) have our suspicions.
 
kEiThZ said:
As seen in Northern Light's post, I think you're the one out of touch with the demographics of your riding.



Oh I think it's exactly that. Nobody likes to actually admit their biases (or worse).

Again. You didn't once mention looking at platforms or local pledges. Your entire post was about the ethnicity of candidates supposedly not matching demographics (which you were also wrong on). So you can see why I (and maybe others) have our suspicions.
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Thank god for the ignore button...
 
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