PM Mark Carney's Canada

[Westey]

Wondering how many of these trade "deals" will materialize to economic growth, and if any, how long will it take...

The fact that these are not actual trade deals, they are MOU's, and the fact that since Carney become PM, the April thru December GDP growth was 0% in Canada vs. 3.2% in USA, I'd think you have to wait a long time until Canada will see improvement.

 

[Admiral Beez]

I appreciate that this clears some of the backlog of TFWs, but I’d be annoyed if I was applying to emigrate to Canada through the usual process from my country of origin.

Canada launches new program to grant 33,000 foreign workers permanent residence, immigration minister reveals

Lena Metlege Diab says in an interview that the program has been soft-launched as large numbers of migrants are running out of status in Canada.

www.thestar.com

Paywall free: https://archive.is/TwvUV

The TFW program should never be used or seen as a track to PR. Come to Canada, pick our fruit, get paid, go home, and we’ll see you next year. That system worked fine. And TFW who wants to become a PR should have to apply from their home country.

 

[Lennox970]

The fact that these are not actual trade deals, they are MOU's, and the fact that since Carney become PM, the April thru December GDP growth was 0% in Canada vs. 3.2% in USA, I'd think you have to wait a long time until Canada will see improvement.

Seems that vibes alone make Carney incredibly popular.

 

[Westey]

Seems that vibes alone make Carney incredibly popular.

I am not sure if it's vibes or bribes. That $150 media bail-out goes a long way, along with the $1.5B for the CBC.

 

[Admiral Beez]

Wondering how many of these trade "deals" will materialize to economic growth, and if any, how long will it take...

Seems that vibes alone make Carney incredibly popular.

Not for long. Canadians are now expecting investments and expansions in pipelines, ports, mineral extraction, agricultural exports, and manufacturing. If we see nothing but sunny ways by the autumn, Canadians may begin to question.

 

[christiesplits]

By-elections have been announced for April 13 in three ridings, including University-Rosedale and Scarborough Southwest.

Prime Minister Carney announces by-elections

Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, announced that by-elections will be held on April 13, 2026, in the following electoral districts:Scarborough SouthwestTerrebonneUniversity—Rosedale

www.pm.gc.ca

 

[Richard White]

By-elections have been announced for April 13 in three ridings, including University-Rosedale and Scarborough Southwest.

Prime Minister Carney announces by-elections

Today, the Prime Minister, Mark Carney, announced that by-elections will be held on April 13, 2026, in the following electoral districts:Scarborough SouthwestTerrebonneUniversity—Rosedale

www.pm.gc.ca

Scarborough Southwest Resident here.

I don't think this seat is as safe as the liberals think. When Doly crossed the floor it left a bad taste in some mouths including my own.

My guess is that it's a toss up leaning NDP

 

[Jonny5]

Scarborough Southwest Resident here.

I don't think this seat is as safe as the liberals think. When Doly crossed the floor it left a bad taste in some mouths including my own.

My guess is that it's a toss up leaning NDP

The latest national poll from Leger has the NDP down in Green Party territory at 5% and the Liberals at 50%.
I don't really see the NDP making inroads anywhere, perhaps ever again.

Of course, a by-election can be an outlier, but I really don't see that effect cascading to here.

 

[Richard White]

The latest national poll from Leger has the NDP down in Green Party territory at 5% and the Liberals at 50%.
I don't really see the NDP making inroads anywhere, perhaps ever again.

Prior to Bill Blair this was an NDP riding.

 

[Jonny5]

Prior to Bill Blair this was an NDP riding.

Sure, but "prior to Bill Blair" was 11 years and four elections ago now. I don't weight the history before that as much of a factor.

EDIT: Also the NDP came in third in the most recent three elections. I think generational change has happened in the area.

 

[thettctransitfanatic]

Scarborough Southwest is still likely to go Liberal, IMO, because the NDP remains a mess. University Rosedale for sure goes Liberal, leaving the residents of Terrebonne, Quebec as the kingmakers. That will easily be the most important byelection in Canadian history. Supreme Court nullifed the 1 vote Liberal win there, and there was some upset about how Elections Canada fumbled the vote counting in the riding, leading to the 1 vote win. It is very much a tossup IMO, even though PM Carney has proven unexpectedly popular in Quebec, even despite his lack of good French...

 

[Monarch Butterfly]

Interesting read in Wikipedia about Mark Carney's wife, Diana Fox Carney. She's a British-Canadian economist and climate policy expert in her own right.

Specializing in developing nations, she is active in various environmental and social justice causes. She has published research and has collaborated with multiple international think tanks. She has been described as a "widely respected expert on global climate and energy policy", serving as a board member for numerous not-for-profit organisations.

She spent her earliest years at Quarwood House, a Gothic mansion near Stow-on-the-Wold, that was later purchased by John Entwistle of The Who. The family then purchased a lucrative pig farm, while Diana and her sister attended Oxford High School for Girls. She then attended Marlborough College in Wiltshire.

Fox Carney has a degree in Philosophy, Politics and Economics and a master's degree in agricultural economics from the University of Oxford and an MA in international relations from the University of Pennsylvania. In the 1990s, she was one of the stronger skaters on the women's team of the Oxford University Ice Hockey Club, where she met her future husband Mark Carney, who played goaltender for the men's team

 

[christiesplits]

Scarborough Southwest Resident here.

I don't think this seat is as safe as the liberals think. When Doly crossed the floor it left a bad taste in some mouths including my own.

My guess is that it's a toss up leaning NDP

Wow, really? The NDP haven't won SSW since 2011 during the "Orange Wave." Richard, you have a closer eye and ear to the riding than me, but I would be stunned if the Dippers finished second, let alone first.

 

[Richard White]

Wow, really? The NDP haven't won SSW since 2011 during the "Orange Wave." Richard, you have a closer eye and ear to the riding than me, but I would be stunned if the Dippers finished second, let alone first.

Oh I remember. I knew Dan and his family well, I even went to High School with his cousin Lauren. His father Dave was a school teacher (now retired) at Donwood Park PS.

Dan won because of the Orange Wave and truthfully, alot of it had to do with name recognition (he ran several times previously for various things). He was surprised when he won as it was completely unexpected.

I saw the candidates online and honestly, I can see this being a very low turnout. The Candidates are the same as the last election and honestly, they don't represent me.

I sincerely hope I don't offend anyone when I say this but the Candidates are quite ethnic and don't represent me or my way of life. They are designed to appeal to the immigrant population and not to the people who have lived in Canada or Scarborough for generations.

Dan won because he could relate to the constituents of the riding. The problem the CPC had for years was that they kept putting in south and southeast asian candidates who had no connection to the riding. They were from India, Sri Lanka and Pakistan with an intention to appeal to the immigrant population.

Unfortunately, those CPC candidates came in third every single time.

The NDP ran into a similar situation in 2007 when they ran Jay Sarkar provincially and in 2008 when they ran Alamgir Hussein federally.,

I get that the area is changing but even still, I don't really connect with any of the named candidates. I would much rather not vote than vote for someone who I am not feeling good about.

For me, it is less about the party and more about who is representing me. I need to know they represent my interests not those of people who have little to no connection here.

Honestly, I would rather vote Communist than vote for the current slate of candidates. Fun fact: I was once a member of the CPC... not that CPC, the other one.

 

[adma]

Re the NDP in SSW: it's not like there isn't *long-term* potential here (and besides 2011, don't forget that John Harney in the 70s and Reid Scott in the 60s also represented much of this area). However, I agree that unless there's an "Avi bump" the party's in no shape to be even 2nd-place competitive, while it would require the Cons to be truly in the polling toilet to be lower than 2nd. And even when the federal NDP's finished ahead of the Cons (2011 not excluded), it's only been by a few points rather than anything decisive. Whatever the bad blood, Doly would probably register as "generic Liberal", in the same way that, from his opposite end of the ideological spectrum, Tom Wappel did.