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NY Times' Paul Krugman on Health Care

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This from an economist widely touted for the Nobel prize...

OP-ED COLUMNIST
The Medical Money Pit
By PAUL KRUGMAN

Published: April 15, 2005

A dozen years ago, everyone was talking about a health care crisis. But then the issue faded from view: a few years of good data led many people to conclude that H.M.O.'s and other innovations had ended the historic trend of rising medical costs.

But the pause in the growth of health care costs in the 1990's proved temporary. Medical costs are once again rising rapidly, and our health care system is once again in crisis. So now is a good time to ask why other advanced countries manage to spend so much less than we do, while getting better results.

Before I get to the numbers, let me deal with the usual problem one encounters when trying to draw lessons from foreign experience: somebody is sure to bring up the supposed horrors of Britain's government-run system, which historically had long waiting lists for elective surgery.

In fact, Britain's system isn't as bad as its reputation - especially for lower-paid workers, whose counterparts in the United States often have no health insurance at all. And the waiting lists have gotten shorter.

But in any case, Britain isn't the country we want to look at, because its health care system is run on the cheap, with total spending per person only 40 percent as high as ours.

The countries that have something to teach us are the nations that don't pinch pennies to the same extent - like France, Germany or Canada - but still spend far less than we do. (Yes, Canada also has waiting lists, but they're much shorter than Britain's - and Canadians overwhelmingly prefer their system to ours. France and Germany don't have a waiting list problem.)

Let me rattle off some numbers.

In 2002, the latest year for which comparable data are available, the United States spent $5,267 on health care for each man, woman and child in the population. Of this, $2,364, or 45 percent, was government spending, mainly on Medicare and Medicaid. Canada spent $2,931 per person, of which $2,048 came from the government. France spent $2,736 per person, of which $2,080 was government spending.

Amazing, isn't it? U.S. health care is so expensive that our government spends more on health care than the governments of other advanced countries, even though the private sector pays a far higher share of the bills than anywhere else.

What do we get for all that money? Not much.

Most Americans probably don't know that we have substantially lower life-expectancy and higher infant-mortality figures than other advanced countries. It would be wrong to jump to the conclusion that this poor performance is entirely the result of a defective health care system; social factors, notably America's high poverty rate, surely play a role. Still, it seems puzzling that we spend so much, with so little return.

A 2003 study published in Health Affairs (one of whose authors is my Princeton colleague Uwe Reinhardt) tried to resolve that puzzle by comparing a number of measures of health services across the advanced world. What the authors found was that the United States scores high on high-tech services - we have lots of M.R.I.'s - but on more prosaic measures, like the number of doctors' visits and number of days spent in hospitals, America is only average, or even below average. There's also direct evidence that identical procedures cost far more in the U.S. than in other advanced countries.

The authors concluded that Americans spend far more on health care than their counterparts abroad - but they don't actually receive more care. The title of their article? "It's the Prices, Stupid."

Why is the price of U.S. health care so high? One answer is doctors' salaries: although average wages in France and the United States are similar, American doctors are paid much more than their French counterparts. Another answer is that America's health care system drives a poor bargain with the pharmaceutical industry.

Above all, a large part of America's health care spending goes into paperwork. A 2003 study in The New England Journal of Medicine estimated that administrative costs took 31 cents out of every dollar the United States spent on health care, compared with only 17 cents in Canada.

In my next column in this series, I'll explain why the most privatized health care system in the advanced world is also the most bloated and bureaucratic.


E-mail: krugman@nytimes.com

Copyright 2005 The New York Times Company
 
And on the other hand...

Canada's death row

Thursday, April 7, 2005

Nationalized (government-run) health care has been the goal of many for decades. And Canada's system, some say, is a good model.

Yikes.

The Canadian system features 10 "interlocking" provincial and three territorial health insurance plans. And according to Health Canada, the federal agency overseeing the effort, "the system provides access to universal, comprehensive coverage for medically necessary hospital and physician services."

Eventually.

"Universal health care," the spoonful of sugar that's supposed to make nationalized medicine go down better, increases demand. Which begets shortages. Which beget rationing. Which begets waiting. So long have the delays grown for some services that Health Canada had to form the "Wait Time Alliance."

On Sunday, the group offered its interim recommendations. Among them:

Those seeking emergency CT scans or MRIs should not have to wait more than 24 hours; the wait for "urgent" cases should be only seven days.

"Emergency" heart-bypass surgery should be done within two days. Not "urgent"? You'll have to wait anywhere from 42 to 182 days.

This isn't medical care; this is death row. And it's an expensive one at that: Canadians are paying $5.5 billion just to figure out how to reduce waiting.

Obviously, nationalized health care is an idea whose time hasn't come.
 
One side from a Nobel-candidate economist. The other from the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Hmmm....

The most telling comment, I think, is that the American government spends more to cover only a fraction of the population. Also, nobody would say that the American Medicare/Medicaid coverage is any better than Canadian Medicare.
 
I do think that I'd like to see a lot more newspaper articles with the word "Yikes."
 
Personally I don't give a rat's ass whether it's a Nobel winner writing or some redneck in Kansas. The bottom line is that some people in Canada have to wait for a year before they can have their cataracts removed. Why can't we implement the kind of changes that the Germans, French & Swedes have to fix their systems?
 
blixa:

Why can't we implement the kind of changes that the Germans, French & Swedes have to fix their systems?

I think we should implement the tax rate found in those countries in question first, then see where that extra money for health care would bring?

GB
 
I would argue that our system is better than some European models. There are user fees in France and Sweden for example. There are also private hospitals that cater to the well-off in many European countries.

Here, organizations like the Fraser Institute would like to see user fees placed on health care, and want to allow a parallel private system for the people who can afford it. They argue that health costs are out of control in the public system, but offer no proof that a private system would reduce costs in any measurable way.

As well, there is little knowledge as to what kind of impact this privatization would have on the public system (doctor, nurse and technician shortages, etc.).
 
biz:

The funny thing is, for all this talk on private health care delivery (i.e. private hospitals, publically reimbersed care for individuals), there is zilch supporting evidence that they any more efficient overall. All the examples cited were of restricted, single-task institutions (like clinics specializing in certain types of treatment) where economies of scale resulted in efficiencies, and not due to the private system per se.

GB
 
^That's a good point. I noticed that down in the US, the single task clinics are quite plentiful and can get pretty particular, such as offering only one type of surgical procedure.
 
Do you think that would be a good model for Canada? I wonder whether the economies of scale could justify the increased inconvenience of travel for patients.
 
biz:

Single-procedure clinics/regional centres as a principle is already sort of being implemented here in Ontario. I believe the Trillium Health Centre Site in Etobicoke have some sort of specialization in cataract surgery.

afransen:

Well, it depends on where the facility in question is, I suppose. It would make certainly make sense for single-procedure clinics in urban centre since there is a relatively large population served within a small geographical area. Besides, practice makes perfect, from a medical standpoint.

GB
 
If Krugman is up for a Nobel it is not for anything he has done recently. (though I guess working at MIT/Princeton still likely beats the Pittsburg Review on most days). -sorry but I find his opinion peices in the Times a bit annoying as he has a fairly obvious bias and tends to stray way too far from his actual field of knowledge.
 
I don't think newspaper columns are really criteria for a Nobel Prize. He'd get it for his major work on international trade theory. The currency crises too. He's already won the John Bates Clark, which is almost prestigious as the Nobel but not as well known.

As for the columns... They're usually good, but often a little too strong and frequent about American domestic issues that don't really affect me, so that diminishes my attention at times.
 
Single-procedure clinics/regional centres as a principle is already sort of being implemented here in Ontario. I believe the Trillium Health Centre Site in Etobicoke have some sort of specialization in cataract surgery

Again, good point. Most of these would fall under "elective" procedures, I assume (a cataract surgery clinic is one that I am not too sure about).
 

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