I'm interested in seeing how many people are transferring at the new Downsview stations.
For instance, if you're going from Aurora GO to U of T, presumably it would make more sense to get off at Downsview and take the subway southbound to St. George rather than going all the way down to Union and then take the subway northbound to St. George.
My thoughts exactly. Personally, connecting between GO and the TTC at Union is not something I enjoy, it's a longer walk than at Downsview Park and it's generally fairly crowded even off-peak, and a total zoo during peak. And of course Union TTC is about to enter another round of construction to install faregates, which is going to
suck. Not a comfortable experience at all, then during peak (and often even off peak) no seat on the subway. Whereas at Downsview Park there's a good 45 seconds of actual walking in total, and maybe another 45 seconds of taking escalators up/down, there are few people in the station, and you're guaranteed a seat on the subway.
Heading back north (during peak--not applicable midday/evenings/weekends) there is the issue of not getting a seat on the GO train, but from Downsview Park it's about 15 minutes to Rutherford, and Rutherford passengers tend to get up and head to the doors a good 10 minutes before their stop, so I think a single passenger boarding at Downsview Park would stand for 5 minutes if even that.
Well, you do save $0.98 and 3 minutes by getting off at Downsview Park.
And that adds up. $1.96 and 6 minutes a day, if you're a daily commuter, especially a budget-conscious student, it's not
huge but it's not negligible either.
Let's not kid ourselves though, the 3 minute time saving isn't guaranteed. The TTC is known for subway delays, anything from signal problems to emergency alarms to suicides. However, GO isn't immune from delays either, especially at the Davenport Diamond where I can't remember the last time I was on a train that wasn't delayed at least 5 minutes there, and usually there's another ~5min stop in the Union area to let UPX go in/out because apparently GO forgot that UPX exists when they drew up the Barrie schedules.
And if you take GO to Union, you're kind of doubling your risk because you're subject to GO delays on that stretch
and you're taking the TTC back north. From Downsview Park, you're
only taking the TTC. I think 0-5 minutes of time savings is a reasonable expectation on average, it might be more or less on occasion.
Plus, depending when one leaves St George, keeping in mind the 18-20 minutes it takes to get from Union to Downsview Park (plus the chance of delays for the UPX and at Davenport), there is a very real possibility that you might have gotten to Union to just miss a departing train, whereas you might be able to intercept it up the line at Downsview Park. Of course, vice versa there could be a northbound subway delay or short turn, but I think on the whole you're more likely to get lucky catching a train than missing one by heading north. This would add a minimum of 30 minutes of time savings which is huge.