TOareaFan
Superstar
There will always be bus travel on routes with or without all-day service. GO Buses serve both off-peak travel and travel not to Union Station (i.e. from Oakville to North York). So there will not be a complete depletion of the bus system on a route when the trains take over...they will fill in another need.
Not sure I said buses would disappear, if I did that is not what I meant. But busses going to Union should disappear if all lines have full train service. Those buses can be rededicated to, as you say, routes that don't go to Union or as extenders of the rail lines into areas of lower demand....spoking out from and feeding the rail lines.
The key point is that we should not have a cookie cutter solution for each line. If we do, we will have a huge operating deficit for a long time. Look at each line independently, inform the public how you are doing so and then execute on your strategy. If Metrolinx/Ontario government sets a policy that is EASY for people to understand and executes on it, everyone will understand what they are doing (they may not be happy but at least they will understand).
Again, nowhere did I say (or mean to say) cookie cutter approach but policieis like "when demand warrants" without telling people what that means leads people like me to think about what it means and if, on one line, an average of 350 passengers an hour is what warranted expansion of half-hourly trains then surely the number for hourly is less than that and it seems like that is a number achievable on any/all of the other lines.
The WORST thing for transit is to overbuild in areas where this is no demand and then there will be cutbacks which will set back transit policy for years.
Again, what is overbuilding? Hate to harp on the half hourly service on Lakeshore (cause I actually think it is a good thing) but in announcing that increase in service level the projection was that the increase alone would lead to an increase in the annual subsidy would be $7 million. Since the average number of passengers seems to have dropped perhaps that estimate was low...I don't know but, again, if increases in subsidy are are reason to avoid overbuilding in some places...why not all?