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GO 2.0 Expansion Plan

crs1026

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I went looking for the right thread to post my comments in, and rather than post in individual threads and fragment the discussion, I figured this one might deserve its own, just in case there are actual legs to this study and it becomes a real thing. (The mods may have other ideas, I defer to their wisdom, they can move this discussion wherever)

My personal reaction is that this plan is simply pre-election vapour, just like the promise to spend $200M to upgrade service to London which was made before the last election.

It appears to take ideas that have been studied already, and discarded on grounds of high cost or low utility, and package them in one big glossy project.... the likelihood being that the other parties know these ideas are weak, and won't be promoting them.... so the PC platform looks more ambitious and more focussed and the other parties look like they don't care, or don't have ideas.

The absurdity is that the party that is supposed to be most concerned with deficit control, cost control, and prudent use of taxpayer money, up to and including tax cuts.... is proposing a ridiculously expensive program that will rock the Province's finances (or generate demands that Ottawa shouuld pay for this). Is the avarage voter that gullible? Perhaps.

The Bolton line is the most likely to emerge, but it needs a proper Business Analysis with a clear scope. Is this to be a peak service consisting of a few trains, or another 2WAD service?

The Richmond Hill line seems to take on greater significance. How does this parallel the Line 1 extension? We don't need both. Any plan to upgrade and floodproof the Don line is going to be expensive and intrusive. Any plan to rekindle the Leaside Spur is just fantasy - it will never pass the NIMBY gauntlet.

The Milton 2WAD, Bypass, and Midtown line again need a clear scope definition. It would be good to have someone do a proper cost analysis. There is lots of speculation about this one, and railfan imaginations run wild.... but we need an apples to apples analysis of the cost/benefit of moving CPKC versus sharing the corridors. I expect that if reelected, Ford will milk the mere thought of a Milton 2WAD for another term in office without actually spending any money or signing a deal with CPKC. Milton 2WAD is not a bad idea, but it's an expensive one, and is not a crisis level problem yet. So keep teasing the voters and leave it at that.

The maps have so many wrong details that I seriously wonder if the whole thing was prepared by an intern, possibly using sources like UT for ideas. Perhaps it's time for the Roundhouse Museum to set up a display cabinet and begin collecting napkins from various political transit "platforms".

Lastly, ML is a failed organization that hasn't pulled off GO 1.0 yet. Any forward motion on 2.0 is counterproductive. Keep the spotlight on ML's current commitments (making sure they aren't dropped or rewritten, or deferred) and save 2.0 for some future date.

- Paul
 
I went looking for the right thread to post my comments in, and rather than post in individual threads and fragment the discussion, I figured this one might deserve its own, just in case there are actual legs to this study and it becomes a real thing. (The mods may have other ideas, I defer to their wisdom, they can move this discussion wherever)

My personal reaction is that this plan is simply pre-election vapour, just like the promise to spend $200M to upgrade service to London which was made before the last election.

It appears to take ideas that have been studied already, and discarded on grounds of high cost or low utility, and package them in one big glossy project.... the likelihood being that the other parties know these ideas are weak, and won't be promoting them.... so the PC platform looks more ambitious and more focussed and the other parties look like they don't care, or don't have ideas.

The absurdity is that the party that is supposed to be most concerned with deficit control, cost control, and prudent use of taxpayer money, up to and including tax cuts.... is proposing a ridiculously expensive program that will rock the Province's finances (or generate demands that Ottawa shouuld pay for this). Is the avarage voter that gullible? Perhaps.

The Bolton line is the most likely to emerge, but it needs a proper Business Analysis with a clear scope. Is this to be a peak service consisting of a few trains, or another 2WAD service?

The Richmond Hill line seems to take on greater significance. How does this parallel the Line 1 extension? We don't need both. Any plan to upgrade and floodproof the Don line is going to be expensive and intrusive. Any plan to rekindle the Leaside Spur is just fantasy - it will never pass the NIMBY gauntlet.

The Milton 2WAD, Bypass, and Midtown line again need a clear scope definition. It would be good to have someone do a proper cost analysis. There is lots of speculation about this one, and railfan imaginations run wild.... but we need an apples to apples analysis of the cost/benefit of moving CPKC versus sharing the corridors. I expect that if reelected, Ford will milk the mere thought of a Milton 2WAD for another term in office without actually spending any money or signing a deal with CPKC. Milton 2WAD is not a bad idea, but it's an expensive one, and is not a crisis level problem yet. So keep teasing the voters and leave it at that.

The maps have so many wrong details that I seriously wonder if the whole thing was prepared by an intern, possibly using sources like UT for ideas. Perhaps it's time for the Roundhouse Museum to set up a display cabinet and begin collecting napkins from various political transit "platforms".

Lastly, ML is a failed organization that hasn't pulled off GO 1.0 yet. Any forward motion on 2.0 is counterproductive. Keep the spotlight on ML's current commitments (making sure they aren't dropped or rewritten, or deferred) and save 2.0 for some future date.

- Paul
Wait so Milton is vapourware? Damn it.
 
I went looking for the right thread to post my comments in, and rather than post in individual threads and fragment the discussion, I figured this one might deserve its own, just in case there are actual legs to this study and it becomes a real thing. (The mods may have other ideas, I defer to their wisdom, they can move this discussion wherever)

My personal reaction is that this plan is simply pre-election vapour, just like the promise to spend $200M to upgrade service to London which was made before the last election.

It appears to take ideas that have been studied already, and discarded on grounds of high cost or low utility, and package them in one big glossy project.... the likelihood being that the other parties know these ideas are weak, and won't be promoting them.... so the PC platform looks more ambitious and more focussed and the other parties look like they don't care, or don't have ideas.

The absurdity is that the party that is supposed to be most concerned with deficit control, cost control, and prudent use of taxpayer money, up to and including tax cuts.... is proposing a ridiculously expensive program that will rock the Province's finances (or generate demands that Ottawa shouuld pay for this). Is the avarage voter that gullible? Perhaps.

The Bolton line is the most likely to emerge, but it needs a proper Business Analysis with a clear scope. Is this to be a peak service consisting of a few trains, or another 2WAD service?

The Richmond Hill line seems to take on greater significance. How does this parallel the Line 1 extension? We don't need both. Any plan to upgrade and floodproof the Don line is going to be expensive and intrusive. Any plan to rekindle the Leaside Spur is just fantasy - it will never pass the NIMBY gauntlet.

The Milton 2WAD, Bypass, and Midtown line again need a clear scope definition. It would be good to have someone do a proper cost analysis. There is lots of speculation about this one, and railfan imaginations run wild.... but we need an apples to apples analysis of the cost/benefit of moving CPKC versus sharing the corridors. I expect that if reelected, Ford will milk the mere thought of a Milton 2WAD for another term in office without actually spending any money or signing a deal with CPKC. Milton 2WAD is not a bad idea, but it's an expensive one, and is not a crisis level problem yet. So keep teasing the voters and leave it at that.

The maps have so many wrong details that I seriously wonder if the whole thing was prepared by an intern, possibly using sources like UT for ideas. Perhaps it's time for the Roundhouse Museum to set up a display cabinet and begin collecting napkins from various political transit "platforms".

Lastly, ML is a failed organization that hasn't pulled off GO 1.0 yet. Any forward motion on 2.0 is counterproductive. Keep the spotlight on ML's current commitments (making sure they aren't dropped or rewritten, or deferred) and save 2.0 for some future date.

- Paul
Personally, I have two takes. 1. The man is going to win the election solely from bribing people with $200 cheques, which personally I think will ironically work most on people complaining about the deficit, 2. Even if they were both next-door to each other, I would still take the Richmond Hill line versus a Yonge extension, just based off how bad the service is on the TTC!
 
Wait so Milton is vapourware? Damn it.

Milton is simply expensive. Always has been, that's why it has been left out of past plans.

The bypass is just a Hail Mary proposition to reduce that cost.....but as we have not seen proper figures, we don't really know if it lowers the cost or not.

Bundling Milton with Midtown is the kiss of death to both, simply in that it pushes the project further beyond the affordability point.

Doesn't mean there aren't reasons to argue for both of them, but the bundling pretty much guarantees that this is political theatre and not serious transit planning with the finance people in the room.

- Paul
 
I went looking for the right thread to post my comments in, and rather than post in individual threads and fragment the discussion, I figured this one might deserve its own, just in case there are actual legs to this study and it becomes a real thing. (The mods may have other ideas, I defer to their wisdom, they can move this discussion wherever)

My personal reaction is that this plan is simply pre-election vapour, just like the promise to spend $200M to upgrade service to London which was made before the last election.

It appears to take ideas that have been studied already, and discarded on grounds of high cost or low utility, and package them in one big glossy project.... the likelihood being that the other parties know these ideas are weak, and won't be promoting them.... so the PC platform looks more ambitious and more focussed and the other parties look like they don't care, or don't have ideas.

The absurdity is that the party that is supposed to be most concerned with deficit control, cost control, and prudent use of taxpayer money, up to and including tax cuts.... is proposing a ridiculously expensive program that will rock the Province's finances (or generate demands that Ottawa shouuld pay for this). Is the avarage voter that gullible? Perhaps.

The Bolton line is the most likely to emerge, but it needs a proper Business Analysis with a clear scope. Is this to be a peak service consisting of a few trains, or another 2WAD service?

The Richmond Hill line seems to take on greater significance. How does this parallel the Line 1 extension? We don't need both. Any plan to upgrade and floodproof the Don line is going to be expensive and intrusive. Any plan to rekindle the Leaside Spur is just fantasy - it will never pass the NIMBY gauntlet.

The Milton 2WAD, Bypass, and Midtown line again need a clear scope definition. It would be good to have someone do a proper cost analysis. There is lots of speculation about this one, and railfan imaginations run wild.... but we need an apples to apples analysis of the cost/benefit of moving CPKC versus sharing the corridors. I expect that if reelected, Ford will milk the mere thought of a Milton 2WAD for another term in office without actually spending any money or signing a deal with CPKC. Milton 2WAD is not a bad idea, but it's an expensive one, and is not a crisis level problem yet. So keep teasing the voters and leave it at that.

The maps have so many wrong details that I seriously wonder if the whole thing was prepared by an intern, possibly using sources like UT for ideas. Perhaps it's time for the Roundhouse Museum to set up a display cabinet and begin collecting napkins from various political transit "platforms".

Lastly, ML is a failed organization that hasn't pulled off GO 1.0 yet. Any forward motion on 2.0 is counterproductive. Keep the spotlight on ML's current commitments (making sure they aren't dropped or rewritten, or deferred) and save 2.0 for some future date.

- Paul
I agree, and the whole premise of GO 2.0 is giving me the same energy as the 401 tunnel. A grandiose idea that aims to do a lot and solve a lot of problems, but appears to be quite literally impossible, technically and financially. The difference being that if the projects of GO 2.0 were pulled off, they'd be far more effective in dealing with transit and gridlock issues than the tunnel.

I desperately want full MX ownership of the Kitchener corridor and Milton getting full upgrades, and Midtown and Bolton would be magnificent, however what I want to see right now is the completion of GO 1.0. Not a single catenary pole has gone up anywhere on the network, and its now 2025. 15 minute service doesn't run 7 days on any of the lines, which at this point is shocking. Barrie and Stouffville should've had large parts of their double tracking done by now, and yet there are so many gaps, tie ins not complete and platforms sitting empty. Heck the West Harbor track tie in which is damn near done has not been used by a Niagara Falls train yet. These are the wins we need to see.

GO 2.0 really does feel like fantasy, which saddens me to an extent, but we need to be realistic, and the government is not, and is in fact capitalizing on peoples' lack of knowledge on how complicated, expensive and time consuming things are going to be.

That said, I'd be very interested in learning about if any negotiations have been done at this point, if any budget calculations have been done, what timelines the PC will work under and what CN and CPKC have to say (CPKC did say that any big Milton plan would be extremely technically challenging, so that might hint at the lack of leverage the Ford government has). I don't think we'll be hearing any details on the progress, though, considering this government seems to despise transparency, and Ford's skirting of the 401 tunnel cost question.

This recent Ford campaign has been full of massive massive massive big projects that require spending no one would expect of a conservative government. 407 buyback has been explored, $50 billionish right there. Same cost has been estimated for the 401 tunnel. We can assume GO 2.0 approaches that level of cost. We're talking about 100s of billions of dollars now, GO 2.0 seems almost silly to even think about.
 
Agree with what people are saying here, rather than GO 2.0, I'd rather more money and people be allocated to speeding up the completion of GO 1.0

But that actually requires work, its much easier to promise a slew of new projects that won't even be considered until the distant future...
 
Agree with what people are saying here, rather than GO 2.0, I'd rather more money and people be allocated to speeding up the completion of GO 1.0

But that actually requires work, its much easier to promise a slew of new projects that won't even be considered until the distant future...
This feels like a case of "9 women can't make a baby in a month". There is no reason to necessarily believe that throwing money and people at GO 1.0 would speed anything up, or at least to any proportionally significant degree.
 
I'd love for some more transparency. We don't even know what GO 1.0 is!

Or what it has evolved to. There have been plenty of scope changes, none of them justified or even disclosed. Pretty easy to rewrite history and “forget” the tough parts.
ML’s secrecy culture breeds a lack of project discipline….. those that can’t, just change the scope.

- Paul
 
Wait so Milton is vapourware? Damn it.
As someone who has been unfortunate enough to live in Milton for the last 16 years, I feel very strongly that in the long run it would save anyone who uses the line untold grief if they just moved away (or at least got a car) rather than expecting any kind of movement on Milton service. At some point, Albert Einstein's definition of insanity springs to mind...
 
This feels like a case of "9 women can't make a baby in a month". There is no reason to necessarily believe that throwing money and people at GO 1.0 would speed anything up, or at least to any proportionally significant degree.

The issue is not one of throwing money around....

Its an issue of high quality, competent project management, first.

Second, its about concentrating on a small number of projects at any given time so that you can reach deliverables faster. Stouffville appears to have a single major item incomplete that would allow two-way, all-day, 30M service (Highland Creek). The project in question is not particularly expensive, or complicated.

But Mx seems unable to get its ducks in a row as it does a project here, and a project there, leaving stranded assets all over the place.

People are rightly fed up with seeing tunnels under the 401 going unused, because the necessary follow on projects to commission additional track haven't even been started, years later.

Taking the same amount of dollars and double or tripling work crews on one or two projects a time, finishing projects in logical succession and order; closing a line for just one week, if needs be to get work done 24/7, but then reward the inconvenienced riders with substantial service improvements.

Today, GO, by and large, runs less service than it did 5 years ago. (some exceptions do exist, such as Niagara, and greater frequency to Bramalea), but really, Mx's performance has been nothing short of embarrassing.

***

I want to throw in the West Harbour example here, and note...... I've seen CN Crews rebuild washed out track, embankment and signals and have service back up in a week.

Yet work at West Harbour has been ongoing for how long? Clearly Mx does not know how to word a purchase order for a project. Deadlines need to be a thing.
 
This feels like a case of "9 women can't make a baby in a month". There is no reason to necessarily believe that throwing money and people at GO 1.0 would speed anything up, or at least to any proportionally significant degree.

Generally Id agree with this but Metrolinx cant even make one baby in 24 months
 
The issue is not one of throwing money around....

Its an issue of high quality, competent project management, first.

Second, its about concentrating on a small number of projects at any given time so that you can reach deliverables faster. Stouffville appears to have a single major item incomplete that would allow two-way, all-day, 30M service (Highland Creek). The project in question is not particularly expensive, or complicated.

But Mx seems unable to get its ducks in a row as it does a project here, and a project there, leaving stranded assets all over the place.

People are rightly fed up with seeing tunnels under the 401 going unused, because the necessary follow on projects to commission additional track haven't even been started, years later.

Taking the same amount of dollars and double or tripling work crews on one or two projects a time, finishing projects in logical succession and order; closing a line for just one week, if needs be to get work done 24/7, but then reward the inconvenienced riders with substantial service improvements.

Today, GO, by and large, runs less service than it did 5 years ago. (some exceptions do exist, such as Niagara, and greater frequency to Bramalea), but really, Mx's performance has been nothing short of embarrassing.

***

I want to throw in the West Harbour example here, and note...... I've seen CN Crews rebuild washed out track, embankment and signals and have service back up in a week.

Yet work at West Harbour has been ongoing for how long? Clearly Mx does not know how to word a purchase order for a project. Deadlines need to be a thing.
It's baffling how Eglinton Crosstown isn't a bigger scandal, and that GO Expansion doesn't seem to have become a scandal at all. All while congestion has become a political football.
 
Is it too much to ask for Metrolinx to speed up the removal of at-grade crossings and the electrification of the Lakeshore lines? They can’t even seem to build GO expansion 1.0 in a single generation.
So there is work going on, and there is work in the pipeline on the LSE. The pace of work might be frustrating but does also reflect the amount needing to be done, and the struggle with construction costs. At least this pace of work keeps a workforce reasonably occupied over a period of years and not trying to assemble a bigger one at vast cost and then demobilize it when work runs out.
 

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