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Eglinton East LRT | Metrolinx
- Thread starter W. K. Lis
- Start date
Steve X
Senior Member
How many people actually would use local transit (excluding GO trains) between East Scarborough and Pickering to make it worth it for a LRT?
The only visible corridor would be Kingston Rd and Ellesmere which they envision a BRT to STC.
innsertnamehere
Superstar
Those projections are way off as well. Toronto has been growing at a rate of about 1.5% annually for the last year, which means it would grow by 45% by 2041, not 26%.
Similarly other regions are growing slower than projected. Halton Region for example, projected to grow the fastest, is growing by about 1.9% annually over the last 4 years, meaning 56% growth by 2041 (compared to 93% in the graphic).
Similarly other regions are growing slower than projected. Halton Region for example, projected to grow the fastest, is growing by about 1.9% annually over the last 4 years, meaning 56% growth by 2041 (compared to 93% in the graphic).
CityStay
Active Member
You can't base 30 year growth projections on data from just 1 year, or only 4. You can't simply exclude the first 10 to suit your purpose.
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Streety McCarface
Senior Member
You can when it goes against current growth rates and when you have something like the Great Recession affect your population dynamics.
CityStay
Active Member
Not when the projection BEGAN in 2011. You could make a 20 year projection beginning in 2020..
At any rate, you can't base any long term projection on data from just 1 year.
innsertnamehere
Superstar
The point is not that the numbers I stated are what will actually happen, just more so that the numbers predicted for 2041 are off. They thought Toronto would continue to grow by about 25,000 people a year like it did from about 2005-2015, but the last 3 years it's averaged just under 50,000/year. The projections thought that Toronto would grow by about 700,000 people from 2.6 to 3.3 million. Toronto in 2020 is about 3,000,000. So we are 57% of the way there in 30% of the time. Toronto has grown at roughly twice the projection.. That doesn't mean that Toronto of 2041 will necessarily be a population of 4 million (though it could be), just that it's going to be more than 3.3 million.
Similarly, if Halton Region were to grow linearly from 2011 to 2041, it should be at about 625,000 in 2019. It's 31,000 behind that in reality, at 594,000. That's about 33% slower growth than the projection. It could of course pick up speed and catch back up to the projections, but I consider that unlikely.
Similarly, if Halton Region were to grow linearly from 2011 to 2041, it should be at about 625,000 in 2019. It's 31,000 behind that in reality, at 594,000. That's about 33% slower growth than the projection. It could of course pick up speed and catch back up to the projections, but I consider that unlikely.
Johnny Au
Senior Member
If projections hold, Brampton could end up with a larger population than Mississauga!
Coolstar
Senior Member
The Eglinton East LRT website has been turned into a gambling site. https://eglintoneastlrt.ca/
sixrings
Senior Member
What the heck. Thanks Tory and Ford. Amazingly there were people here who thought there was going to be enough money for both the SSE and EELRT. Apparently even though most of here are adults we still believe politicians when there's very little to no evidence from the past to trust them as long as they are promising us something we want to hear. Tory will be long retired and Ford will be voted out before they're held accountable for this nonsense.
mdu
Active Member
Gambling? Ford is going to introduce the new EELRT, with blackjack and
kali
Active Member
Station amenities: casino
kali
Active Member
tap your Presto card to bid $3.10
Coolstar
Senior Member
But you can't bid because the card will glich out on you.
kali
Active Member
and the reader will mistakenly read out loud your cards