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Bruce Power: New Nuclear Generation Capacity

If you are building gigawatts of new capacity but integrated into a trans-border grid, this would seem an unwise position to take if you want to be seen as a reliable partner over multi-decade time horizons

This is not to say that Ontario or Canada stand idly while That Guy shoots his mouth off - but it just seems like bad timing, especially given the only serious alternative customer, Quebec, is mending fences with Newfoundland and Labrador in this week’s Churchill Falls deal.
 
This is not to say that Ontario or Canada stand idly while That Guy shoots his mouth off - but it just seems like bad timing, especially given the only serious alternative customer, Quebec, is mending fences with Newfoundland and Labrador in this week’s Churchill Falls deal.

So many Ford pronouncements are walked back when reality sets in, I doubt this one is being taken too seriously..... except..... Canada is clearly heading towards a "discussion" with the new US President - for whom "shooting his mouth off" is a trademark - and it isn't bad to point out that a) Canadian first ministers are aligned and unified with Ottawa on this topic and b) there are potential consequences to what the US is proposing. So it may be effective posturing, with little actual relevance to managing the grid.

- Paul
 
There’s a lot at stake in Ontario specifically when it comes to the tariffs situation - the manufacturing industry represents about 13% of total national GDP, with much of it being directly integrated with US manufacturing supply chains. There’s a pretty big chance that tariffs could kill most Canadian manufacturing, especially in the automotive sector, something that affects Ontario disproportionately, with potential to undo all of the work put into battery plants and EV production that has been going on for the last 4 years.

It should be no surprise to see Ford take such an aggressive stance early on when there is so much on the line. Ontario is considering other measures too, like no longer importing US alcohol through LCBO and banning export of critical battery minerals to the US. The optics of seeming like a reliable electricity partner mean little when one policy move on the other side of the border can destroy your entire economy.
 
Trump would probably spin it as if he's doing us a favor - don't need more new expensive power plants if you got no light bulbs to light.
 
It should be no surprise to see Ford take such an aggressive stance early on when there is so much on the line. Ontario is considering other measures too, like no longer importing US alcohol through LCBO .....

The one potential positive out of this, should it happen, might be the availability of BC wines at the LCBO - one can only hope. And should it happen, hopefully it would be difficult for the LCBO / Province to delist them once this tariffs tempest is over.
 
The one potential positive out of this, should it happen, might be the availability of BC wines at the LCBO - one can only hope. And should it happen, hopefully it would be difficult for the LCBO / Province to delist them once this tariffs tempest is over.
Actually, the entire range of inter-provincial trade restrictions (and commerce restrictions for that matter) needs to be eliminated.
 
Actually, the entire range of inter-provincial trade restrictions (and commerce restrictions for that matter) needs to be eliminated.
Agreed. Some of the biggest fractures that will emerge in the “Team Canada” united approach to handling the next US presidency are due to each province being its own, functionally isolated market having to look out for their own trade-related interests (BC, MB, ON, and QC with all of their own individual hydro export relationships, AB/SK with oil, etc). Not having a true internal common market has harmed us and will continue to do so under Donald Trump.
 
Site for the new power plant seems to be narrowed down to Wesleyville over Nanticoke or Lambton:

Ontario plans for huge new nuclear plant at Wesleyville site​

Matthew McClearn

Ontario Exploring New Nuclear Energy Generation in Port Hope​

Province engaging with municipality and Williams Treaties First Nations to produce affordable energy to meet soaring demand
January 15, 2025
PORT HOPE – The Ontario government has asked Ontario Power Generation (OPG) to explore opportunities for new nuclear energy generation at their Wesleyville site, following expressions of interest from the Municipality of Port Hope and the Williams Treaties First Nations (WTFNs). OPG will work with local communities to determine support as the province seeks to expand generation to meet the rising demand for electricity.

“With energy demand in Ontario set to increase by 75 per cent by 2050, we are doing the early engagement and development work now that will ensure the province has options to meet that growing demand,” said Stephen Lecce, Minister of Energy and Electrification. “I’m excited to be continuing these conversations with Indigenous and municipal leaders to explore options for new nuclear generation at the Wesleyville site, including new good-paying jobs and other associated benefits.”

The Wesleyville site, which is maintained by OPG, located near existing transmission, road, and railway infrastructure, and already zoned for new electricity generation, is well-suited to support a large new nuclear site. Based on early assessments by OPG, this site could host up to 10,000 megawatts (MW) of new nuclear generation, which could power the equivalent of 10 million homes.

According to the Conference Board of Canada, a potential nuclear development in Port Hope would also contribute $235 billion to Ontario’s GDP over an estimated 95-year project life, which includes design, construction, operation, and maintenance. It would also support 10,500 jobs across Ontario, including 1,700 new good-paying jobs in Port Hope, representing an average 15 to 20 per cent boost to overall employment levels in the local area.

Following active engagement with community leaders by Minister Lecce and OPG, the Council of the Municipality of Port Hope unanimously passed a motion on December 17, 2024, endorsing continued engagement with OPG and the Ministry of Energy and Electrification on the potential for new energy generation at the Wesleyville Site.


To support continued engagement, the Ontario government announced that OPG will provide the WTFNs with capacity funding and an opportunity for equity participation in any generation project. The province also announced immediate funding of $1 million for the Municipality of Port Hope to support early growth readiness, assessment of planning and infrastructure requirements, and to meet consultation requirements. As part of a milestone-based process, leading toward the development of a Host Municipal Agreement, Port Hope could also access up to $30 million of funding for associated infrastructure investments and to attract co-located industries.

The potential nuclear build would also allow local communities to benefit from additional co-located industry and supply chain spending. The Municipality of Port Hope would also benefit from increased municipal property taxes from the station, which according to the Conference Board of Canada are estimated to be $10.5 million annually.

“Ontario needs more affordable and reliable energy to meet soaring demand, and I am excited to work with our municipal and Indigenous leaders to explore how we meet that challenge, while creating new jobs and opportunities right here in Port Hope,” said David Piccini, MPP for Northumberland-Peterborough South. “New energy generation represents an incredible opportunity for our region, and I am committed to working closely with Premier Ford and Minister Lecce to ensure our community is supported as this work advances – including immediate funding of $1 million for Port Hope.”

Lecce did not provide an estimate on the cost to build the site, saying that number will be determined by the scope and scale of the project.

Officials said OPG would start investigating environmental, health, and social impacts this year and although the minister did not provide many details on a timeline, officials said the province is eyeing construction to take place in the early to mid 2030s for operation in the mid 2040s.

“Looking at roughly a 10 to 15 year horizon when it comes to building,” Lecce told reporters at a news conference on Wednesday morning.


“We are not setting deadlines, we are not placing any of that on the community… we want this to be a meaningful engagement consultation which we are formally launching today.”
 
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I would think the lengthy timelines to get something like this built would make tying it directly to related real estate plays such as a ie. a data centre unlikely? The latter's development timeline just seems shorter by years if not decades. But anticipating a significant surge in energy demands for increased computing more broadly does seem like a smart bet - and nuclear is clean and stable.
 
What's not to like. Rail access for construction phase, Hwy 401 access, just down the shore from a major cement plant and a Cameco fuel plant nearby.
 
Probably also related to the nuclear supply chain industry, data centres don’t necessarily need to be located that close to the power plants.
With the scale of AI compute datacentres, avoiding some of the transmission bottlenecks would be advantageous.
 
I am glad to see this. A capacity of 10,000 MW would put it just under the size of the Bruce Nuclear Power Plant’s full buildout capacity inclusive of the new Bruce C project. The Wesleyville site makes a lot of sense and has superior connectivity with both the provincial freeway network and the railway network compared to the Nanticoke/St. Clair Township sites. Crazy that Ontario could soon be home to the world’s two largest nuclear power plants, provided full buildout in both Bruce and Wesleyville is achieved.
 

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