News   Oct 11, 2024
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2024 United States presidential election

As usual, @PinkLucy is on point.

Lets make note here, the typical Canadian election is 5 to 7 weeks in length.

We are currently 15 weeks out from the U.S. election date on Nov 5th, 2024.

The Dems haven't even held their convention yet, which would be the process for formally nominated a candidate.

So, Biden was never technically their candidate, even though he was the presumed candidate.

****

Lets also note, the Reps have a more than healthy war chest, one vastly larger than any Canadian party has ever had.

They have directly raised over 195M USD; and there's another 220M USD in outside groups that's spendable.

So 415M............to date.

For contrast, Canadian parties were limited to a maximum spend of 30M CAD in the last election. The Conservatives spent the most at 28.9M which would work out to ~21M USD.

The U.S is 9x the population of Canada

Even multiplying the Conservative number by 9 gives you less than what the Trump campaign has raised to date; and far less when outside groups are considered.
 
This is exactly what the Republicans didn't want. They were banking on being able to pummel a senile old man for the next few months but now they'll have to contend with someone far more dynamic. The equation has changed significantly.

It's an accident. But it's perfect. Biden left before the convention and exactly after the Republicans coronated Trump and picked Vance.

The Republicans were betting on Biden getting turfed at the convention and then chaos with Democrats in disarray while they cruised to the finish line. They were so confident that Trump picked Vance to run up the score. They admitted to this in an Atlantic article. It's quite likely that Trump would have picked Haley if he knew he had to face a woman. Or at least not Vance. Now the Republicans are stuck with the oldest nominee in history and a VP pick with narrow appeal.

And Harris is simply breaking the enthusiasm meter. $81M in 24 hrs. A zoom call that had a limit of 1000 had to be specially expanded by Zoom's CEO....to allow 44 000 participants.

Republicans will lean into attackss about how she's a DEI pick. And all their wives, daughters and sisters will be wondering, "Is this is what my husband/dad/brother thinks about my career?". And so will every person of colour everytime they try to denigrate her incredible resume as tokenism.

It's still an uphill climb to be sure. And it would have been better if Biden had just allowed a primary. But so much of the Republican messaging backfiring is deliciously entertaining.
 

Any chance Harris doesn’t pick a white man as her running mate? The field of female and BIPOC candidates is small.
 
28 000 volunteers signed up in swing states. Quarter of a billion dollars and more pledged delegates than she needs to win the nomination in less than 36 hrs:

Late Monday night, NBC News projected that Harrris has won endorsements from a majority of the Democratic party’s pledged convention delegates. The threshold is 1,976 delegates, and NBC estimates that Harris has the spoken or written backing of 1,992 delegates.

While not yet formally the party’s presumptive nominee, Harris’ position as frontrunner is rock solid, and no potential challengers have signaled they intend to vye for the nomination.

In the hours since President Joe Biden announced that he would end his teetering reelection campaign, Harris and the Democratic party have pulled in roughly $250 million in online donations and major donor commitments.

The Democratic fundraising platform ActBlue has processed $106 million in contributions to Democratic candidates since Biden dropped out, according to an automated tracker.



This sure did age like milk

I don't think Kamala Harris is going to make much of a difference.
 
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I think it is a bit crazy that Musk has decided to spend $45M per month to re-elect Trump. Kind of brazen trying to buy a President.
 
I think it is a bit crazy that Musk has decided to spend $45M per month to re-elect Trump. Kind of brazen trying to buy a President.
Let’s see if the Musk money arrives after the first few months. Elon is famous for welching on his commitments, such as impulsively committing to buy Twitter and then trying to back out.

As for the other tech bros supporting Trump, they’re looking at a ton of regulatory and IRS whoop ass if the Dems take the White House. Harris won’t forget.

 
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I think it is a bit crazy that Musk has decided to spend $45M per month to re-elect Trump. Kind of brazen trying to buy a President.

He might be less generous after the stock tanked overnight. He's already backing away from this commitment.

Personally, I want an EV. As long as he is the largest shareholder, I won't buy a Tesla. It's probably only a dollar or two from a car I buy. But I don't want it going to that crazy bigot and fascist apologist.
 
Let’s see if the Musk money arrives after the first few months. Elon is famous for welching on his commitments, such as impulsively committing to buy Twitter and then trying to back out.

As for the other tech bros supporting Trump, they’re looking at a ton of regulatory and IRS whoop ass if the Dems take the White House. Harris won’t forget.


Harris is from California. She was very tech industry friendly. But she is also capable of separating tech (as a sector) from techbros. And they know that.
 
He might be less generous after the stock tanked overnight. He's already backing away from this commitment.

Personally, I want an EV. As long as he is the largest shareholder, I won't buy a Tesla. It's probably only a dollar or two from a car I buy. But I don't want it going to that crazy bigot and fascist apologist.
What about all the crazy bigots and fascists you don't know about with ownership stakes in other automakers? VW?
 

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