I'd say both Quebec and Ontario will be in play. Quebec has a tendency to overwhelmingly support one party (a single party has won the majority of Quebec's seats in every election since 1965), and while Quebec can be very unpredictable, I'd say a Liberal wave there is more likely than a Conservative one. Ontario, however, is poised to be crack for political junkies this fall. The Trudeau Liberals aren't very popular, and the provincial Liberals are in the wilderness. However, Doug Ford has dragged down the Conservative brand, and the NDP, despite their disappointing poll numbers, has shown a glimmer of hope in Ontario. There have been numerous polls putting NDP support in the 20's, combined with the fact that the Ontario NDP has a very strong base across urban Ontario. I would argue Ontario will be the main battleground in this election.