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Pope Leo XIV’s Pontificate

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Good enough use of an existing thread...



Conclave to elect new Pope to begin on May 7th​


The conclave to elect the 267th Pope will begin on May 7th, following the conclusion of the Novemdiales Masses to pray for the eternal repose of the late Pope Francis.

The Cardinals present in Rome have agreed to begin the conclave on May 7th, 2025.

The conclave will take place in the Vatican’s Sistine Chapel, which will remain closed to visitors during those days.
 

New Pope Betting Odds & AI Prediction: Pietro Parolin Leads Favorites Ahead of Wednesday's Conclave​


Esten McLaren looks at the betting odds to be the next pope, with Pietro Parolin (+225) as the favorite to become the 267th pope following the death of Pope Francis. Plus all you need to know about how and when the next pope will be chosen.

From https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/novelty/next-pope-odds-favorites-2025/

Here are the odds for who will be named the next pope via Sports Interaction in Ontario. Odds as of Monday, May 5.
  • Pietro Parolin (+225)
  • Luis Antonio Tagle (+325)
  • Matteo Zuppi (+600)
  • Peter Turkson (+650)
  • Pierbattista Pizzaballa (+700)
  • Peter Erdo (+1000)
  • Robert Sarah (+1200)
  • Fridolin Ambongo Besungu (+2500)
  • Jean-Marc Aveline (+2500)
  • Raymond Leo Burke (+3300)
  • Reinhard Marx (+4000)
  • Mykola Bychok (+4000)
  • Timothy Dolan (+4000)
  • Kevin Farrell (+5000)
  • Mauro Gambetti (+5000)
  • Timothy Radcliffe (+5000)
  • Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga (+6600)
  • Christoph Schonborn (+6600)
  • Angelo De Donatis (+6600)
  • Angelo Scola (+6600)
  • Sean Patrick O'Malley (+6600)
  • Willem Eijk (+6600)
  • Konrad Krajewski (+6600)
  • Anders Arborelius (+6600)
  • Francis Arinze (+6600)
  • Robert Francis Prevost (+6600)
  • Mark Ouellet (+8000)
  • Gianfranco Ravasi (+10000)
  • Robert McElroy (+10000)
  • Thomas Christopher Collins (+10000)
  • Antonio Canizares Llovera (+10000)
  • Francisco Robles Ortega (+10000)
  • William Goh (+20000)
  • Dominique Joseph Mathieu (+20000)
 

Could a Canadian become the next pope?​

The chance of electing a Canadian pope is “very unlikely,” says Emma Anderson, professor of religious studies at the University of Ottawa.

The Canadian cardinals​

Canada’s cardinals are Thomas Collins, Gerald Lacroix, Michael Czerny, Francis Leo and Marc Ouellet. All of them are eligible to be chosen as pope by their peers, as any baptized Catholic male can technically be elected pope.
 

New Pope Betting Odds & AI Prediction: Pietro Parolin Leads Favorites Ahead of Wednesday's Conclave​


Esten McLaren looks at the betting odds to be the next pope, with Pietro Parolin (+225) as the favorite to become the 267th pope following the death of Pope Francis. Plus all you need to know about how and when the next pope will be chosen.

From https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/novelty/next-pope-odds-favorites-2025/
Meh. If the church wants to maintain a greater worldwide appeal, I don't think picking another Italian as pope is the best idea, especially in the modern age.
 

New Pope Betting Odds & AI Prediction: Pietro Parolin Leads Favorites Ahead of Wednesday's Conclave​


Esten McLaren looks at the betting odds to be the next pope, with Pietro Parolin (+225) as the favorite to become the 267th pope following the death of Pope Francis. Plus all you need to know about how and when the next pope will be chosen.

From https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/novelty/next-pope-odds-favorites-2025/
I used ChatGPT to convert the betting odds to probability in percentages to make it easier to visualize for those who don't understand betting odds.

CandidateOddsImplied Probability (%)
Pietro Parolin+22530.77%
Luis Antonio Tagle+32523.53%
Matteo Zuppi+60014.29%
Peter Turkson+65013.33%
Pierbattista Pizzaballa+70012.50%
Peter Erdo+10009.09%
Robert Sarah+12007.69%
Fridolin Ambongo Besungu+25003.85%
Jean-Marc Aveline+25003.85%
Raymond Leo Burke+33002.94%
Reinhard Marx+40002.44%
Mykola Bychok+40002.44%
Timothy Dolan+40002.44%
Kevin Farrell+50001.96%
Mauro Gambetti+50001.96%
Timothy Radcliffe+50001.96%
Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga+66001.49%
Christoph Schonborn+66001.49%
Angelo De Donatis+66001.49%
Angelo Scola+66001.49%
Sean Patrick O’Malley+66001.49%
Willem Eijk+66001.49%
Konrad Krajewski+66001.49%
Anders Arborelius+66001.49%
Francis Arinze+66001.49%
Robert Francis Prevost+66001.49%
Mark Ouellet+80001.23%
Gianfranco Ravasi+100000.99%
Robert McElroy+100000.99%
Thomas Christopher Collins+100000.99%
Antonio Canizares Llovera+100000.99%
Francisco Robles Ortega+100000.99%
William Goh+200000.50%
Dominique Joseph Mathieu+200000.50%

ETA:

Bolded the eventual winner: Leo XIV (né Robert Francis Prevost)
 
Last edited:
white papal smoke.jpg
 
Robert Francis Prevost +6600 1.49%
Front the US.
Rigged election. Haha
Maybe Donald will take credit for this too.
Pope Leo XIV spoke in Latin, Italian, and Spanish, on the balcony. Did not speak English. (Sorry, Donald.)
1746726679191.png



American Robert Prevost is the next head of the Roman Catholic Church. He takes the name Pope Leo XIV.

Though Pope Leo is an American, a native of Chicago, he has worked extensively in Peru.

Prevost was called from Peru to Rome in January 2023 and named by Pope Francis to lead the Dicastery of Bishops, which names and manages the church’s bishops. He was picked to replace Quebec’s Cardinal Marc Ouellet, who resigned his post shortly after he was alleged to have engaged in past sexual misconduct, the second such allegation against him. Ouellet denied wrongdoing and was reportedly clear in an internal church investigation.
From https://www.thestar.com/news/world/live-updates-pope-conclave-may8/article_908a2563-9d10-4738-9580-89c455e91d91.html
 
BREAKING: MAGA world melts down as the Catholic Church elects American Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost to become Pope Leo XIV — a man who has slammed Donald Trump and J.D. Vance in the past.

Republicans wanted a far-right pope and instead they got a continuation of Pope Francis' legacy...

In February, then-Cardinal Prevost shared a piece on X entitled "JD Vance is wrong: Jesus doesn't ask us to rank our love for others" in which the author pushed back on Vance's claim that Christians should love their family first, then their neighbor, then their community, then their fellow citizens, then the rest of the world.

Vance was attempting to twist Catholic theology to defend his virulent anti-migrant views by suggesting that Christians don't have to prioritize care for anyone beyond their immediate familial circle.

The then-Cardinal also retweeted a message slamming Trump and El Salvadoran Dictator Nayib Bukele for the "illicit" deportation of innocent Maryland father Kilmar Abrego Garcia and the "suffering" caused by MAGA deportation policy.

On top of that, he shared an article from the conservative American Cardinal Timothy Dalton entitled "Why Donald Trump’s anti-immigrant rhetoric is so problematic" which condemned the "nativism" espoused by the MAGA movement. The piece also stated that Christians should see "the immigrant as a gift to our nation" and "welcome the stranger."

Pope Leo XIV is expected to carry on his predecessor's legacy of advocating for action on climate action, upholding social justice, and caring for the global poor. In other words, he will stand for everything that MAGA opposes.

Trump himself has already reacted to the announcement with a pro forma congratulations message on Truth Social that was likely written by a staffer.

"Congratulations to Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost, who was just named Pope. It is such an honor to realize that he is the first American Pope," wrote Trump's account. "What excitement, and what a Great Honor for our Country. I look forward to meeting Pope Leo XIV. It will be a very meaningful moment!"

Once Trump gets a better sense of Pope Leo XIV's beliefs — namely that Christians are called to love and care for all of the people of the world, not just white conservatives — the president will likely be singing a very different tune. If and when that attack comes, we will proudly stand with Pope Leo's love and kindness against Trump's hatred and cruelty.

 
Vance was attempting to twist Catholic theology to defend his virulent anti-migrant views by suggesting that Christians don't have to prioritize care for anyone beyond their immediate familial circle.
That's one thing about most organized religion. Everyone can interpret the canons pretty much any way they like.

1746759452964.png


Republicans wanted a far-right pope
I wonder what that would be. Seems to be a bit of an oxymoron unless they want to move back a few centuries.
 

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